Kazakhstan v Scotland: Alex McLeish's side 'have 43% chance of reaching Euro 2020'

Euro 2020 qualifying: Kazakhstan v Scotland
Venue: Astana Arena, Astana Date: Thursday, 21 March Kick-off: 15:00 GMT
Coverage: Listen on BBC Radio Scotland 810MW/DAB/online; live text commentary on the BBC Sport website; watch highlights on BBC Scotland

Scotland have a 43% chance of getting out of their Euro 2020 qualifying group, say data analysts Gracenote.

Alex McLeish's side face Kazakhstan in Astana on Thursday before travelling to play San Marino on Sunday.

Before they were put in a group that also contains Belgium, Cyprus and Russia, the Scots were given a 34% chance, but that has been revised.

"It was a better than average draw and increased their chances," said Gracenote's Simon Gleave.

Scotland are guaranteed to claim at least a play-off place after winning their Nations League group and this is still the most likely means for them to reach the finals in 2020.

They remain third favourites in their group behind Belgium, who are ranked third in the world by Gracenote, and Russia, who are 34th.

Scotland are ranked 45th, with Cyprus, Kazakhstan and San Marino all outside the top 100.

Overall, McLeish's side are considered by Gracenote to have a 55% chance of reaching Euro 2020 by one method or another.

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