FA Cup third-round predictions - Lawro vs the YouTubers on every tie

BBC Sport expert Mark Lawrenson

The FA Cup third round is famous for shocks and surprises - but who will provide them this year?

BBC Sport's football expert Mark Lawrenson has taken a look at all 32 of this weekend's ties and given his verdict on who will make it into round four.

This week Lawro is up against a trio of YouTubers - Manchester City fan Alex from Blue Moon Rising TV,external-link Tottenham supporter Barnaby from Spurred Onexternal-link and Arsenal fan Reev.external-link

Alex and Barnaby have both got involved in BBC Sport's No Guts, No Glory campaign to share their tales of the magic of the FA Cup while Reev will be behind the scenes of the BBC's coverage of West Ham v Man City on Friday, and posting material on his social media platforms telling his story of the FA Cupexternal-link on behalf of the Football Association.

Blue Moon Rising's Alex remembers Man City's amazing comeback

All kick-offs 15:00 GMT unless otherwise stated.

Gap = how many league positions separate each team

Premier League v League Two

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred
Liverpool v Plymouth (13:30 GMT)680-02-03-14-03-1

This will be a great trip for Plymouth fans and will earn some money for the club too, but I cannot see them causing Liverpool many problems at Anfield.

Liverpool will make a lot of changes and I am expecting to see quite a few young players start for them, but Reds boss Jurgen Klopp will put some experience in there too. Argyle are going well at the top of League Two and he will know he cannot take too many chances.

Liverpool obviously do not want a defeat but they will want to avoid a replay too because that would mean another road trip in what is already an extremely busy month for his side because of both legs of their EFL Cup semi-final.

Premier League v League One

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Bolton v Crystal Palace290-01-20-21-1*2-1
Millwall v Bournemouth443-00-21-31-32-1
Chelsea v Peterborough514-13-03-04-02-0

* Away team to win at home in the replay

Crystal Palace boss Sam Allardyce will shuffle his team and use some fringe players but he will not want the indignity of being beaten at his former club Bolton, where he did so well between 1999 and 2007.

Wanderers are playing really well but they have got other things on their mind - they are second in League One and promotion is their priority.

YouTube's Reev gives his FA Cup predictions

Bournemouth will be too strong for Millwall and I am expecting Chelsea versus Peterborough to be pretty one sided in favour of the Premier League leaders.

Premier League v Championship

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Man Utd v Reading 174-02-01-1*3-02-1
Norwich v Southampton192-22-01-1*1-22-0
Stoke v Wolves250-22-12-02-02-2*
Watford v Burton272-01-1*2-02-11-1*
Preston v Arsenal 211-21-1*0-31-40-2
West Brom v Derby191-22-11-01-1*0-1
Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday103-00-10-11-1*1-1*
Tottenham v Aston Villa292-02-04-03-03-1

* Away team to win at home in the replay

Reading are third in the Championship and flying. They have showed real resolve at times too, like they did when they came from 2-0 down to beat Bristol City last time out.

When Stam fell out with Man Utd & Sir Alex

It will be interesting to see how Royals boss Jaap Stam's return to Old Trafford goes but, even if Manchester United pick some of their fringe players, I would expect the holders to go through.

Stoke and Tottenham should also make pretty comfortable progress but I can see Norwich, Burton and Sheffield Wednesday causing some upsets.

Norwich boss Alex Neil had been under serious pressure but his side beat Derby last time out and he could go from zero to hero if they beat Southampton.

Burton are struggling in the Championship but they fight all the way and I can see them getting past Watford via a replay, as one of my shocks.

Spurred On's Barnaby predicts Spurs v Villa

I have not been convinced by Middlesbrough at home and Sheffield Wednesday are an attacking team who will cause them plenty of problems.

As for Preston against Arsenal, can I just pick my own team to win? I would just be happy if we give the Gunners a good game and got a replay. I think we will, because we are extremely competitive.

Premier League v Premier League

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
West Ham v Man City90-51-21-21-32-1
Everton v Leicester81-22-12-12-03-0
Hull v Swansea12-01-1*2-11-21-1*
Sunderland v Burnley60-01-01-02-11-1*

* Away team to win at home in the replay

I have no idea what kind of teams Manchester City and West Ham will put out but, if both managers field weakened line-ups, I would fancy City to get through. It is the same with Everton against Leicester.

Blue Moon Rising's Alex predicts West Ham v Man City

Sunderland will be weakened for a different reason, because they have a shortage of fit players but I can see Burnley resting a few, so the Black Cats might just squeak through.

After their recent change of managers, it is a different situation for Hull and Swansea, who will both see the importance of winning their tie.

It will be Tigers boss Marco Silva's first game in charge while Paul Clement will want to build on Swansea's excellent win over Crystal Palace.

Championship v Non-league

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Brentford v Eastleigh695-12-02-2*2-03-1
Ipswich v Lincoln City572-22-12-13-12-1

* Away team to win at home in the replay

Eastleigh had a cracking win over Swindon in round one but, since then, Ronnie Moore has left and Martin Allen has taken charge.

I don't see Allen helping them cause another upset because his old side Brentford play some nice football and score some good goals on their day.

Spurred On's Barnaby remembers Ricky Villa

Ipswich have not won back-to-back games all season and are not having a great time of things but Mick McCarthy's side never give up the ghost. It might be difficult for them against Lincoln, the National League leaders, but I still think they will get through.

Championship v League Two

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Blackpool v Barnsley500-00-20-31-20-1
Cambridge v Leeds361-20-21-20-21-2

Championship v League One

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Brighton v MK Dons412-02-03-03-11-1*
Bristol City v Fleetwood120-02-10-11-02-0
Huddersfield v Port Vale354-03-03-03-12-0
Rotherham v Oxford Utd122-31-1*1-1*1-1*1-2

* Away team to win at home in the replay

Brighton are top of the Championship and promotion is the priority for them but I still think they will have too much for MK Dons.

I don't see Huddersfield or Bristol City having too many problems either, but Rotherham are rock bottom of the Championship and Oxford will fancy their chances.

Championship v Championship

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Birmingham v Newcastle111-10-20-20-11-2
QPR v Blackburn51-22-11-1*1-1*2-2*
Wigan v Nottingham Forest32-01-1*2-10-11-1*
Cardiff v Fulham91-21-01-21-31-0

* Away team to win at home in the replay

Birmingham have taken only one point from four league games since Gianfranco Zola took over as manager and I think their poor form will continue against Newcastle in the pick of the all-Championship ties.

League One v Non-league

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Barrow v Rochdale500-21-1*1-31-20-0*
Sutton v AFC Wimbledon490-00-21-30-21-2

* Away team to win at home in the replay

I am at Holker Street with Football Focus on Saturday (at 12:00 GMT on BBC One and the BBC Sport website) before Barrow take on Rochdale.

I just wonder if this game comes at the wrong time for Barrow, who had not lost for 23 games since August until they were battered by Gateshead on New Year's Eve, but maybe they had one eye on this tie.

There will be a fantastic atmosphere because the game is a 4,400 sell-out - Barrow's biggest crowd in 27 years - to see them try to get to the fourth round for the first time in their 116-year history.

It will not be easy for them, because Rochdale are going well at the top end of League One so even a draw would be a fantastic result for the National League side.

That would also mean Barrow earn more money from the replay, something I like to see the little clubs get out of the FA Cup.

Sutton and AFC Wimbledon are only five miles apart and, as well as it being a derby, Sutton play on a 3G pitch which will be a bit different for the League One side too.

But, having seen them in their amazing comeback to beat Curzon Ashton in round two, I am backing Wimbledon. They have got some very quick attackers and I think they will have too much for Sutton.

League Two v Non-league

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Wycombe v Stourbridge742-12-04-13-01-1*

* Away team to win at home in the replay

Stourbridge are the lowest ranked team left in the competition, are unbeaten since October and are in the third round for the first time in their 141-year history.

The Evo-Stik Northern Premier Division side have had a great run but, sadly for them, I think it will end here against a Wycombe side who are in decent form themselves, and have won 10 out of their last 11 games in all competitions.

League Two v League Two

GapResultLawroBlue Moon Rising TVReevSpurred On
Accrington Stanley v Luton152-12-11-31-21-1

At least one League Two team will be in round four which is a good thing.

Accrington lost narrowly when they went to Kenilworth Road in November but their form has slumped in the last few weeks.

The pressure will be off Stanley on Saturday, however, and I have a feeling they will nick a win, leaving Luton to focus on trying to get promoted.

Lawro was speaking to BBC Sport's Chris Bevan.


A correct result (picking a win, draw or defeat) is worth 10 points. The exact score earns 40 points.

Last time out, Lawro got six correct results, including one perfect score from 10 Premier League games, giving him a total of 90 points.

That was enough to beat comedian Arron Crascall, who managed four correct results with one perfect score for 70 points.

We are also keeping a record of the totals for Lawro and his guests (below), and showing a table of how the Premier League would look if all of Lawro's predictions were correct.

Total scores after week 20
Lawro v Guests
150Elis James
130Boris Becker, Tim Vine
120Robbie Williams
110Michael van Gerwen
100Joe Clarke
92Lawro (average after 20 weeks)
90Josh Franceschi, Colin Murray,
80Nicole Scherzinger
70Dave Bautista, Sam Burgess, Arron Crascall, Athletico Mince
60Rick Astley
50Charlie Sloth, Laura Kenny
40Ed Balls
30Blossoms, American hip-hop duo Run The Jewels
20Lloyd Griffith

Lawro's best score: 160 points (week thirteen v Tim Vine)

Lawro's worst score: 30 points (week four v Dave Bautista)

Lawro's League Table
2Man Utd20154149+4
4Man City201442460
9West Ham2085729+4
10Crystal Palace2066824+7
12West Brom2056921-4

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