Should we be surprised Easter Monday was the hottest recorded? Read more
Hottest Easter, Insects, Scottish villages
Should we be surprised Easter Monday was the hottest recorded?
Nurses, flatmates and cats
We look into sobering statistics about nurses and some curious claims about house-sharing.
Sex, coal, missing people and mice
Are we having less sex? And what happened to coal? (These items are unrelated.)
Heart deaths, organised crime and gender data gaps
Are more people dying from coronary disease? Plus how we need more economic data on women.
Eurovision and fact-checking Naomi Wolf
The stats behind making a successful song, plus misunderstanding Victorian court records.
Hay Festival Special
What does it mean to say that the UK is the fifth largest economy in the world?
Are married women flipping miserable?
Measuring happiness, university access in Scotland, plus will one in two get cancer?
Exam grades, Chernobyl, Ethiopian trees
Was your A-level grade correct? Plus were 350m trees planted in one day in Ethiopia?
Amazon fires, State pension, American burgers
Are forest fires in Brazil the worst in recent times? What is the state pension worth?
Climate deaths, Austerity, Pet food
Challenging the idea of six billion deaths due to climate change; plus what pets eat.
Maternal deaths, taxi driver earnings and statistical pop music
Are black women five times more likely to die in childbirth? Plus making pop music.
Dementia, inflation and shark deaths
Health risks for presidential hopefuls, falling inflation, shark deaths and salary claims
Austerity Deaths, C-Sections and being struck by lightning.
Has Austerity caused 120 thousand deaths in the UK and does God hate men?
New hospitals promised, Aid to Ukraine, Bacon sandwiches
Dissecting the government’s hospitals announcement and President Trump’s Ukraine claims.
Election Special (1/2)
50,000 nurses? 40 hospitals? Corporate tax rises? Tim Harford looks at Election pledges.
Election Special (2/2)
Labour spending plans, Conservative claims on homelessness, the SNP's education record.
Australian Animal Deaths, Carbon Emissions, Election Mystery
How many animals have died in Australia and how many Labour voters went Conservative?
Going, going Ghosn
Quantifying justice in Japan, the cost of Brexit, alligator speed and Liverpool FC's luck
Netflix and Chill
The carbon consequence of streaming, stats on sepsis and stretching Bill Bryson to Pluto
Coronavirus, emotions and guns
Numbers that matter in measuring outbreaks, smelly stats around scent and more.
Tracking Terror Suspects
Costing counter-terrorism, interrogating tomatoes, the UK's reading age, politics and GDP
Coronavirus, Jam, AI and Tomatoes
Covid-19 stats, spreading jam far and wide, cooking with AI, plus James Wong on vegetables
The risks of Covid-19 for different age groups and what restrictions mean for the economy
Coronavirus deaths, face masks and a potential baby boom
Is the coronavirus death count misleading because of delays in reporting?
Supermarket stockpiling, A-level results and Covid-19 gender disparity
Is the coronavirus pandemic having a different impact on men and women?
Comparing countries, the risk to NHS staff, and birdsong
We compare Covid-19 rates around the world. When is the UK going to be past the worst?
Ethnic minority deaths, climate change and lockdown
Are doctors from ethnic minority backgrounds disproportionately affected by Covid-19?
Testing truth, fatality rates, obesity risk and trampolines.
Did the UK really carry out 100,000 coronavirus tests in one day?
Vitamin D, explaining R and the 2 metre rule
Is Vitamin D an under-appreciated weapon in the fight against Covid-19?
School re-opening, Germany’s Covid success and statistically savvy parrots
Will re-opening some schools put children or their teachers at risk?
Obeying lockdown, flight arrivals, and is this wave of the epidemic waning?
Does the data show this wave of the epidemic is waning in the UK?
False negatives, testing capacity and pheasants
How accurate are the swab tests used to diagnose Covid-19?
Antibody tests, early lockdown advice and European deaths
Are more people are dying of Covid-19 in the UK than all the EU countries put together?
Quarantine, Test and Trace and BODMAS
Is it true that Covid-19 mostly kills people who would die soon anyway?
Child Poverty, School Inequality and a Second Wave
As lockdown eases, why hasn't there been a spike in infections?
Why Did the UK Have Such a Bad Covid-19 Epidemic?
Bad decision-making, bad advice, or bad luck?
Hawaiian Pizza, Obesity and a Second Wave?
Covid-19 cases are rising in the UK, is it a sign of a second wave of the virus?
A-level algorithms, poker and buses
We unpick the A-level algoshambles and discover what poker teaches us about statistics.
Covid plasma therapy
Claims about a Covid-19 treatment, breast cancer screening, and 18th century sex workers.
Schools and coronavirus, test and trace, maths and reality
Evidence on Covid-19 risks in schools, data on contact tracing, and a philosophical query.
Covid cases rising, a guide to life’s risks, and racing jelly-fish
How worrying is the UK’s jump in cases? Plus balancing risks and the speed of jelly-fish.
Covid testing capacity, refugee numbers, and mascara
Confusing claims on lab capacity, the UK’s record on asylum, and the volume of eyelashes.
Covid curve queried, false positives, and the Queen’s head
How fast are coronavirus cases doubling? Plus testing confusion and a royal face-off.
'Record' Covid cases, Trump on the death count, and ant pheromones
Case counts in perspective, a suspect stat from the US, and life lessons from insects.
Spreadsheet snafu, ‘Long Covid’ quantified, and the birth of probability
Missing coronavirus case data, long-term symptoms, and a big mathematical moment.
How effective is one dose of the vaccine?
Is the first dose of the Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine 52% or 90% effective?
Will the vaccine bring back normal life? GDP and Fishing
If we vaccinate the top four priority groups by February, how much will things change?
Deaths at Home, Supermarket Infections and the Cobra Effect
Where are people catching Covid-19?
Teachers, Test & Trace and Butterflies
Are teachers more at risk from Covid-19?
Brexit exports, cladding and are 1 in 5 disabled?
Are exports to the EU down since Brexit? Plus removing flammable building cladding.
Comparing death counts, Lock Down drinking and Long Covid
Is the UK’s Covid-19 death count among the worst in the world?
Wales jab success, Eurovision and living with your parents
How to vaccinate a country quickly, plus the UK’s singing contest woes.
Bolton vaccines, Yorkshire versus Scotland and the average gamer
Were tens of thousands of people getting their jab in Bolton every single day?
Third wave fears, smart motorways and bra sizes
Should we worry about Covid-19 cases rising? Plus are smart motorways safe?
Covid deaths, outdoor swimming and care homes
The global death toll has reached a grim milestone. Plus the UK’s low ranking waters.
Delta cases, blue tits and that one-in-two cancer claim
Should we worry about the Delta variant? Plus how much do blue tits eat?
Scotland cases, flood risk and taxing the poor
Covid-19 cases are on the rise in Scotland, plus will your town be under water by 2030?
The Freedom Day Gamble
Tim Harford and the team try to work out how long Covid cases will continue to rise.
Covid, HGV driver shortages and protest costs
Has Brexit caused a fall in lorry drivers? Plus policing Extinction Rebellion.
Vaccine waning, hot dogs and Afghanistan
How worried should we be about antibodies? Plus food that shortens life.
Death, Tax and Dishwashers
Why is estimating the number of unvaccinated people so tricky? And how deadly is 2021?
Covid trends, face mask use, and the universal credit cut
Coronavirus checked, mask use measured, and a minister's claim questioned.
Is it easy being green?
Expensive electricity, inadequate insulation, and a tale of tumbling trees.
Twenty years of More or Less
A look back at our origins, plus the usual mix of numerical nous and statistical savvy.
Omicron, pandemic birth rates and boosters
An Omicron update, pandemic birth rates and the booster drive.
Are women 32% more likely to die after operations by a male surgeon?
Surgery death risks, Test and Trace costs in the UK and Germany, and podcast plans.
Should you follow the 5 second rule? And does inflation hit the poorest harder?
Does inflation hit poor households harder and how many people have died of Covid?
Does the UK have the fastest growing economy in the G7?
How fast is our economy growing? And what is happening with Omicron reinfections?
The prime minister in statistical bother
Boris Johnson has been ticked off for misleading Parliament on jobs and on crime.
Questioning claims about Covid and children
How likely are children to end up in hospital because of Covid? And how many have died?
Vaccinating children, lockdowns, and ebikes
Jabs for five- to 11-year-olds, lockdown effectiveness, and being green on two wheels.
Troop and Casualty Numbers in Ukraine
How reliable are the figures coming out of the conflict in Ukraine?
Germany’s excess deaths, Eurovision and teacher shortages
Did Germany really fare worse than the UK in the pandemic?
Jubilee costs, fuel poverty and imperial measures
We debunk a claim the government is spending £38,000 per household on the jubilee.
Employment puzzle, pyramids and triplets
The UK has a low unemployment rate but lots of people not working – how come?
Maternity litigation, stars, bees and windowless planes
Are damages for maternity mistakes now more than wages for maternity nurses and doctors?
Rail strikes, tyre pollution and sex statistics
Do rail workers really earn £13,000 a year more than nurses?