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The superforecasters

How to predict the future and beat the wisdom of the crowds

How to predict the future and beat the wisdom of the crowds. Manuela Saragosa speaks to Warren Hatch, chief executive of Good Judgement, a consultancy that specialises in superforecasters - individuals with a knack for predicting future events - and the techniques they use to make their guesses. We also hear from Andreas Katsouris from PredictIt, a political betting platform that harnesses the wisdom of the crowds in making predictions about politics.

Producer: Laurence Knight

(Photo: a crystal ball, Credit: Getty Images)

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18 minutes

Last on

Mon 9 Mar 2020 13:32GMT

Broadcasts

  • Mon 9 Mar 2020 08:32GMT
  • Mon 9 Mar 2020 13:32GMT

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