Newspaper headlines: 'Brexit recession', Loach's Palme d'Or

George Osborne (l) and David Cameron Image copyright Getty Images

With one calendar month to go until the UK's 23 June in/out referendum on membership of the European Union, the papers report warnings from the prime minister and chancellor that a vote to leave could result in an economic recession, which may potentially last for a year.

David Cameron and George Osborne have written a joint article in the Daily Telegraph, in which they say their aim is to "set out our assessment of what would happen in the weeks and months after a vote to Leave".

The pair say Treasury analysis suggests that leaving the EU "would knock 3.6% off GDP, and over two years... and put hundreds of thousands of people out of work right across the country". A vote to Leave, they argue, "is a vote for recession".

The Guardian notes that the Treasury report to be published on Monday "follows the longer-term study into the impact of 'Brexit' which claimed GDP would be £4,300 lower per household within 15 years".

The prominent Leave backer, former cabinet minister Iain Duncan Smith, is quoted in the Daily Mirror saying that the report "is not an honest assessment but a deeply biased view of the future and it should not be believed".

The Financial Times reports, however, that former Bank of England deputy governor Sir Charlie Bean "reviewed the Treasury exercise in a consultant capacity and concluded that it was 'reasonable'".

In the Daily Telegraph, Tory MP and senior Leave campaigner Boris Johnson uses his column to compose a future historian's view of "Brexit". "Project Fear turned out to be a giant hoax," he writes, "the markets were calm. The pound did not collapse."

Matt Ridley in the Times says the messages coming from Downing Street and others are "reminiscent of the warnings of what would happen if we left the exchange rate mechanism in 1992 or failed to join the euro in 1999".

The PM and chancellor's argument is given short shrift by the Sun in its editorial. Accusing the Treasury of launching "another dodgy dossier", the paper says it is "further evidence that George Osborne and David Cameron will say and do anything to get a Remain vote next month".

Elsewhere, David Cameron's "closest friend in politics", former No 10 adviser Steve Hilton, writes in the Daily Mail that membership of the EU "makes Britain literally ungovernable" as it brings "constraints on everything from employment law to family policy, all determined through distant, centralised processes we hardly understand, let alone control".

Taliban targeted

The killing of Taliban leader Mullah Akhtar Mansour in a US drone strike is widely reported in Monday's papers.

"Obama gave OK to kill Taliban chief" is the Daily Mirror's headline, noting that the strike against a car carrying Mansour in Pakistan's Balochistan province was authorised by the US president. The paper reports US officials say this proved they were willing to go after the Taliban in Pakistan.

Image copyright AP

The Times says the attack on Mansour "marks the most significant American incursion into Pakistan since the 2011 raid by US Navy Seals which killed Osama bin Laden".

"As the leader of the Taliban - which holds more Afghan territory than at any point since it was ousted from control in 2001 - Mansour banned peace talks with the government", says the Daily Mail.

The Guardian says the killing of the Taliban leader "suggests the US agrees with the demands of the Afghan President, Ashraf Ghani, that 'irreconcilable' insurgents based in Pakistan should be targeted".

Kim Sengupta, whose analysis appears in the I paper, says the killing will "boost President Ghani in Afghanistan where he has been facing criticism over growing strife".

But the Daily Telegraph says the strike "risks inflaming Taliban anger" as some analysts believe at least one potential successor is "considered even more strongly opposed to negotiations".

Eye-catching headlines

  • Dog goggles for pet that can't stand sunshine - it may sound like the latest fad from Beverly Hills, but for collie Maya, wearing sunglasses is a necessity "to protect her diseased eyes from the sun", reports the Daily Telegraph. After Maya scratched her special glasses which cost £50 a go, owner Jo Cook decked the dog out in a pair of children's ski goggles. Mrs Cook says Maya does walk around with her head down "as though she's embarrassed".
  • Unwash and go - according to a survey reported by the Sun, almost a quarter of drivers have never cleaned their car, with 29% saying they would pretend to be out of petrol rather than give a lift in their filthy motor. BP - which carried out the survey - is a well-known provider of automatic car washes, it should be noted.
  • Count Draculake - today's top punning honour goes to the Daily Mirror sub who came up with this beauty to sell a story about open-water swimmers being warned about a "huge rise" in the number of lampreys found in some English rivers. Calling them "vampire fish", because they kill by sucking the blood of others, the paper quotes one phlegmatic swimmer as saying: "I'm not really worried, but I will be keeping an eye out."
  • Lions, tigers, cobras... shock over number of danger pets in Britain - from vampire fish to things that actually might kill you, the Daily Express reports on figures from local councils which show thousands of dangerous animals are being kept as pets. Central Bedfordshire is a hotspot for personal menageries it seems, with the paper saying "wolves, alligators, caimans, black widow spiders and venomous snakes" can be found there. I'll stay on the M1 in future.

Fat: friend or foe?

Several papers debate the findings of a report from the National Obesity Forum (NOF), which suggests current advice to avoid food high in fat - as the Daily Mirror puts it - is useless.

The report says "eating fat does not make you fat", according to the Daily Telegraph, which adds it argues snacking between meals is "one of the main causes of the current obesity crisis".

Image copyright Thinkstock

The Mirror says the NOF wants a "return to 'whole foods' such as meat, fish and dairy", going so far as to suggest full-fat milk, yoghurt and cheese "can help with weight loss and protect the heart".

Processed foods labelled as "low fat", "lite", "low cholesterol" should be avoided, as well as sugar, reports the Sun.

The Daily Mail notes the UK is the "second fattest country in Europe and obesity costs the economy up to £16bn a year", although it adds other experts have criticised the group's conclusions, with the report's authors accused of "cherry-picking evidence to suit their own arguments".

One of those critics is Prof Suzanne Dickson of the University of Gothenburg. Writing in the Daily Mirror, she says the NOF's guidelines are misleading" in that they "make no suggestion on what the upper limit of fat intake should be and without this effectively promote their over-consumption".

The Daily Express quotes Dr Alison Tedstone of Public Health England as saying "calling for people to eat more fat, cut out carbs, and ignore calories is irresponsible" as "international health organisations agree too much saturated fat raises cholesterol, increasing the risk of heart disease and obesity".

What the commentators say

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Media captionBroadcasters John Stapleton and Esther McVey review Monday's front pages

Ken's Cannes comeback

Veteran UK film-maker Ken Loach's scooping of the prestigious Palme d'Or at the Cannes film festival is reported by several papers.

The director came out of retirement to make the film, called I, Daniel Blake, reports the I. It tells the story of the eponymous 59-year-old Newcastle joiner who is "ordered off work after a heart attack only to be declared fit for work by government officials".

Image copyright Getty Images

The I adds the film was "screened with subtitles to ensure the audience understood the Geordie accents".

The Times says I, Paul Blake portrays the "Kafkaesque absurdity of the social services" and notes how Loach and writer Paul Laverty "carefully researched" how their character becomes "trapped in a benefits black hole".

The Guardian reports Loach addressed the Cannes audience in French after receiving the award - his second Palme d'Or. The paper adds that the director "has a very loyal following in Europe" and many of his films have premiered there, including The Wind That Shakes the Barley, which won the top prize in 2006.

Calling Loach the "surprise winner", the Daily Mail notes he has had 13 nominations at Cannes, and joins "an elite group of directors", including Francis Ford Coppola, to have won the prize twice.

Robbie Collin, the Daily Telegraph's film critic, says Loach's win "cements his place in the festival's pantheon of great directors".

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