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During the conflict
in Kosovo earlier this year nearly half a million Kosovar Albanians found
refuge in Albania, Europe's poorest country. Now, six months on, virtually
all the refugees have left. But the impact of the conflict on Albania
and on Albania's relations with its neighbours looks more enduring. The
BBC's South-east Europe analyst, Gabriel Partos, reports on Albania in
the aftermath of the Kosovo conflict.
( KOSOVAR REFUGEES)
Kosovar children playing in a camp in Albania during the spring when the
country was overwhelmed by an influx of refugees. There were those who
feared Albania simply wouldn't be able to cope with the arrival of so
many people - the equivalent of, say, Britain or France taking in eight
or nine million people within just two months. In the event, Albania rose
to the challenge: politicians put aside their differences while thousands
of Albanian families offered hospitality to the refugees. But with the
national emergency gone, the sense of unity has also come under renewed
pressure. Politicians are once again bickering - though the threat to
Albania's stability is not as great as it was a year or two ago, as President
Rexhep Meidani explains:
( MEIDANI:)
During the conflict there was Albanian solidarity that was manifested
quite clearly and the contribution of the Albanian families was quite
great.Now we have some rivalries, we have some problems in political life;
political life is again full of tension. But I believe that the most part
of leaders now have understood that they have to work within institutions
so the right way to discuss regarding the different problems is to be
done within the institutions and this political rivalry will be less important.
President Meidani's
reference to institutions is an acknowledgment that things have, indeed,
improved since 1997 and 1998 when violence helped topple first the administration
led by President Sali Berisha's Democratic Party and then the Socialist
government of Prime Minister Fatos Nano.
( XMAS MUSIC)
The streets may no longer be the place for settling political arguments,
but the seasonal spirit of goodwill - as spread by this Father Christmas
in the streets of Tirana - is distinctly lacking in political circles.
Indeed, since the Kosovo crisis, the struggle for power has, in some ways,
been extended, moving beyond the usual conflicts between left and right.
Over the past couple of months the Socialist Prime Minister, Pandeli Majko,
has been forced to resign when he lost the contest for the party leadership;
and the opposition Democratic Party has badly split when Mr Berisha's
former deputy and others turned against him. British Balkan affairs analyst,
Miranda Vickers:
(VICKERS:) We can see now how fragile and empty were the words of reconciliation
that occurred from both sides in the beginning of the Kosovo conflict.
And we know now that both the political factions in Albania were drawn
together purely because of the crisis and not as part of any long plan
to unify a broad political force. The forces of confrontation are as great
as ever and I think this bickering within the Socialist Party and the
Democratic Party is undermining the image of Albania that Westerners had
gathered from the way the Albanians handled very well the crisis.
But the former international secretary of the Democratic Party, Leonard
Demi, who's now opposed to Mr Berisha, plays down the importance of the
party splits:
(DEMI:) During the crisis we had one stand, one nation. But, however,
the unity is still in Albania and in Kosova. The developments within different
parties - I think this is a natural process. However, it doesn't affect
the unity of Albanians. But for me the most important thing right now
is the economic situation. People would like to improve the situation
in Albania, in Kosovo, throughout the Balkans because with the economy
it means security, order, development and integration.
The dire state of the economy - widespread poverty, mass unemployment
and rampant corruption - is one reason why so many Albanians who can get
work abroad, leave the country. Most of those who join the labour markets
outside have badly-paid, menial jobs. But there's also a serious brain
drain - so much so that majority of the thousands of Albanians educated
in the West don't want to return home after they've completed their studies.
It's a trend the Soros Foundation in Tirana is trying to reverse by supplementing
the low incomes of those who are willing to go back to Albania. But as
one of the Foundation's directors, Piro Misha, explains, Kosovo is continuing
to play a role in the brain drain:
(MISHA:) Of course, there are economic reasons - being paid little
- but now there come also psychological reasons, there come reasons of
lack of belief in the future of this country, but also I would include
in this the crisis in Kosovo or the situation of insecurity in the region.
It's created a kind of very queer psychological mood in the people. It's
also a fact that people don't see clearly what's going to be the future
of Kosovo. That's why it cannot be presented as a factor of security -
so far as nobody is really sure that the crisis is finished. Because nobody
can see what's going to happen next with Kosovo.
But how did the Kosovo conflict affect Albania's economy? After recent
reverses brought about by the dramatic collapse of fraudulent pyramid
investment schemes three years ago, things are looking up once again.
This year Albania is heading for very fast - 11 per cent - growth and
for a perfectly acceptable inflation rate of just four per cent. Yet Gramoz
Pashko, a prominent economist, is not entirely satisfied with the performance
of the economy since the Kosovo crisis:
(PASHKO:) It's strange but economically speaking the country didn't
suffer very much. That means the economic growth remained as we expected
it to be, the inflation rate continued to be down according to the targets
we had already established. This is not always a good sign because if
the economy is to have sustained growth, you have to accept some inflation,
you have to accept some higher demand, and partially our economy suffered
from the fact that many, many of the institutions didn't use the moment
to do the spending.
In some ways the Albanian economy actually benefited from the Kosovo conflict.
Most importantly, a substantial part of the massive international aid
that was sent to Albania to feed the Kosovar refugees remained in the
country when the Kosovars returned home unexpectedly quickly - in a matter
of weeks - during the summer. The relief supplies were then sold off to
Albanians, pushing down food prices and boosting the state revenues. And
there was also an additional benefit which came from the greater international
scrutiny that surrounded the aid deliveries. Sandra Bloemenkamp is part
of the World Bank team that's been helping to tackle corruption in Albania:
(BLOEMENKAMP:) Obviously, the entire donor community was sensitive
to the issue that suddenly a very large amount of money would be going
in the direction of Albania and that there's obviously an issue of accountability
and making sure that this money is being used in the right way. So we
have discussed this - as did other donors - very much in detail with the
government and they were very much open actually to introduce a number
of additional transparency measures so that the entire community could
follow how the funds were spent. We have been particularly working with
those funds that went through the Albanian budget and I think we have
been very happy with the co-operation.
Whether it's to do with corruption or the state of the economy in general,
people down at street level tend to adopt a more pessimistic note. Traders
at Tirana's main central market remember the hardships of the time of
the Kosovo conflict but they also recall the economic benefits which have
since largely evaporated:
(Woman:) It was, of course, a difficult situation. And in my family, she
is saying we hosted 23 Kosovar people and we kept them in the house for
three months.
(Man:) It was better because people were buying more and more goods from
my stand.
(Rep:) So why is it that business is now worse? (Man:) He's saying that
Albanians are poor. When the Kosovars were here they had more money than
Albanians, and they were going round and buying more stuff - food and
other things in the market.
But if Albania has lost the Kosovar refugees as customers, hasn't it gained
the whole of Kosovo as a potential market? Now that Serbia's control over
Kosovo has been replaced by a United Nations administration, the obstacles
in the way of trade and travel have also been removed - so much so that
concern is already being expressed about cross-border smuggling. So is
there a prospect for a big expansion in trade between Albania and Kosovo?
Gramoz Pashko doesn't think so - certainly not in the short term:
(PASHKO:) As a matter of fact, there isn't much going on because there's
a lack of infrastructure to do that. Secondly, Macedonia and Montenegro
are in a better position they have a free trade agreement - Montenegro
is part of the same federation - so they can sell and buy amongst each
other without tax and excise dues and so on. Albania is not part of that
mechanism so, if for instance, an Albanian trader is supposed to sell
to Kosovo, he's supposed to pay dues that are 20-30 per cent higher than
if somebody sells the same goods from Macedonia or from Montenegro.
Trade often leads the way in political developments; but in this case
politics may be running ahead of commercial links. There's been no shortage
of delegations going to Kosovo to forge fresh contacts. But Albania's
new Prime Minister, Ilir Meta, says his country is doing its best to improve
relations with all its neighbours, not just with fellow-Albanians in Kosovo:
(META:) This very strong will of the Albanian government to leave behind
the old stories of this region, to underestimate the borders and to give
priority to co-operation without considering the borders. This is the
best contribution that Albania gives to everybody in the region. And this
is a very good message also for the Albanians in Kosovo by making clear
to them that for us - for the Albanians - that were ignored for centuries
even by the Western part of Europe, now it's our time. Not in the sense
of revenge, but to show to everybody that we are doing our best to build
a common peace, a common future and a common tolerance with everybody
in this region and out of this region.
Albania's mainstream politicians have come to speak the language of cross-border
co-operation rather than old-fashioned nationalism and territorial expansion.
It's a vocabulary that appeals to Western leaders who are concerned about
possible further conflicts in the Balkans. President Meidani, who's been
maintaining close links with Kosovo since he taught at Pristina university
in the 1970s, is among those who foster the new spirit of increased integration;
but he's also expecting the further disintegration of Yugoslavia:
(MEIDANI:) I believe that with time in the process of integration into
the European Union, not only of Kosovo but also other countries of South-eastern
Europe, in this process two new units could be created - like Montenegro
and Kosovo - but integrated directly into the European Union through this
concept of interdependence, not the old classic concept of independence.
And I believe that in this process also borders would be only geographic
symbols where the movement of capital, of people would be free. Any other
concept of a greater Albania, greater Serbia or greater Balkans would
not be useful.
But if politicians are discarding the idea of a greater Albania as something
out-of-date, how is it seen across Albania? Fatos Lubonja is a prominent
Albanian political analyst:
(LUBONJA:) Before it was a dream, somehow, and when you think of a dream,
it's something unrealizable. But it's a dream. Now maybe you can say it's
become an ideal. An ideal is something that you can reach, somehow - if
we can make that difference between a dream and an ideal. Now with what
happened this idea is more concrete but of course with very many perplexities.
First of all, the Albanians are aware that the West doesn't like that,
they are aware of the troubles that it might cause so, for the moment
on the Albanian side they have found a way to speak of an integration
as a part of European integration, with the idea of a soft unification
somehow, that being integrated into Europe the borders will have no more
importance and so all the Albanians will be together. I think it's an
illusion this cannot happen as fast as they think but this is the way
to speak about the dream of unification.
Dreams have been the stuff of Albanian history, and grandiose projects
of the nationalist or communist kind have promised much while delivering
little. Now Albanians share a new dream with the rest of the Balkans -
the dream of joining Europe. But the path to its realisation remains long
and arduous in a country where tradition and modernity clash at many points
- where you literally have to shake the mud off your shoes after walking
along one of Tirana's unpaved streets before you enter a fashionable cyber-cafe.
The end of the conflict in Kosovo has been greeted with a huge sigh of
relief; but it offers no instant solutions to Albania's many problems.
And in some crucial ways, the prospects for Albania and the rest of the
region remain as daunting as ever. (end)
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