The
new Japanese Prime Minister, Junichiro Koizumi, has said that rebuilding
the economy is his top priority. Analysts say that his plans are bold
but could also be risky. This assessment is from our business reporter
Mark Gregory.
Japan's
immediate prospects don't look good. The International Monetary
Fund's latest half yearly outlook predicts the economy will more
or less stand still, with growth of just 0.6 of a percent
this year. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan is worried by price deflation.
In many instances prices in the shops are actually falling. Prime
minister Koizumi has promised tough action, after a decade of dithering
by his predecessor. For example, he wants to force the banks
to write off 140 billion dollars of bad debts, which under
Japanese financing rules this could trigger a wave of bankruptcies
among indebted companies.
WORDS
immediate
prospects - chances for the near future
stand
still - not move
dithering
- not being able to make a clear decision
predecessor
- here, people who have done the same job before
to
write off - if a bank writes off a debt, it accepts that
it will not get its money back and therefore stops trying
He
also wants to repair government finances by curbing
the huge public spending programmes previously favoured to revive
the economy. Many commentators have been calling for such reforms
for years, but that doesn't guarantee success. The distinguished
American economist Paul Krugman argues that the result could even
be harmful. He says the major problem is the unwillingness
of consumers and businesses to spend. Shock therapy that closes
down insolvent companies and throws people out of work won't
address that issue, Mr Krugman believes. But it could plunge an
already stagnant economy into deep recession.
WORDS
repair
- fix, make good
curbing
- restricting and limiting
distinguished
- respected
unwillingness
- if you are unwilling to do something, you don't want
to do it