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SECTOR:
STOCKMARKETS
Broadcast
20th March 1999
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DOW
JONES AVERAGE SOARS ABOVE 10,000
An historic
milestone was passed during the past week when New York's Dow
Jones average broke above the 10,000 level.
Such a development should be utterly meaningless. The Dow is
just a particular assortment of 30 industrial US shares calculated
in a particular way. It could easily be calculated in a different
way using different companies.
But in
practice, much of what happens in financial markets is about
psychology. Ten thousand is a point where all investors
are likely to pause to think about what will happen next.
Will it prove to be a peak from which shares now fall back,
could we be in for years of stagnation at around this level,
or could a new phase of gains be about to start?
The man
who stood out as Wall Street's most vocal optimist is Ralph
Acampora of Prudential Securities. We asked him if he was
excited by the fact that the Dow had leapt over the 10,000
hurdle?
"Oh, I'm so pumped. It is wonderful. It is exhausting.
It is exhilarating. But it is not just a number. What I am
trying to express to people is: it is the way we are getting
above ten thousand. It is the leadership that is carrying
us above this level.
When you have companies like General Electric and Johnson
and Johnson and Citigroup - this is blue chip America at work.
If it were very speculative stocks, I would worry. I am not
worried about the quality of the leadership. We will consolidate
and move higher.
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My secondary target for 1999 is 11,500 and I think
we can do that by the third or fourth quarter of this
year. Ralph
Acampora |
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Actually
I am sitting down right now putting pen to paper, and I am
about to put out a book one of these fine days. I think this
is a market that'is being driven. Are you ready for this?
I think that what is propelling this market are two things
-. one is peace and the other one is technology.
If I am right and my research is true, I think you are talking
about maybe another eight or ten years of a market that is
being stimulated by all of the right things that are going
on around the world. And I think we should be very excited
about this."
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Do
you realise: if we cancel one Stealth bomber today, we
save one billion dollars? Why don't we cancel a dozen
of them? Ralph
Acampora |
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