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Weather

What weather will winter bring?

29th November 2016 Last updated at 13:45
A view of St Edmundsbury Cathedral
keith/weatherwatchers
The frosty, bright days of winter bring out the best view of St Edmundsbury Cathedral

1st of December marks the start of meteorological winter, a period that finishes (for statistical purposes) at the end of February.

Before looking ahead, let's take a look at how November has shaped up so far.

November looks like being a sunnier month than normal. Scotland is on course for one of its sunniest November months on record, with data going back to 1929. Sunny days have been followed by some cold nights and temperatures are below the average.

Autumn trees by a lake on a bright day
Janet/Weather Watchers
A beautiful autumnal scene at Kilmartin, Argyll and Bute. Scotland is on course for its sunniest November on record.

There was one notable exception to the autumn chills. During 19th - 22nd, areas of low pressure brought flooding in places, and our first named storm of the season, Angus, produced a gust to 70 knots at Langdon Bay, Kent.

Flooding at tables and benches at by a canal
Darkside/Weather Watchers
Localised flooding in Hanham, South Gloucestershire, following Storm Angus.

Early winter and the jet stream

The amplification of the jet stream will play an important role in the type of weather we can expect. A more amplified jet - one that is weaker and orientated more north-south - will encourage high pressure. This is likely to bring largely dry weather with some sunshine, cold days and frosty nights.

Some leaves covered in frost
docwat/Weather Watchers
Cold, sunny days are expected at the start of meteorological winter. Photo taken in Peterborough.

Strengthening of the jet would bring an Atlantic influence. This means stronger winds, milder air and spells of rain, and perhaps briefly the chance of snow. These Atlantic incursions are expected to be short-lived however. Cold, quiet winter weather is expected to be the more dominant pattern in the weeks ahead.

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