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Monday 27 April Published at 00:29
Issued by the Met Office
YELLOW WARNING FOR ICE for Scotland
Issued at 1652 on Sun 26 Apr 2015
Valid from 1900 on Sun 26 Apr to 0700 on Mon 27 Apr
Periods of sleet and upland snow will largely die out during Sunday evening and as skies clear icy stretches are expected to form on untreated routes, especially on upland routes where snow has settled. The risk of ice will persist through the night but will quickly thaw after sunrise on Monday morning.
The public should be aware of the likelihood of some difficult driving conditions and travel disruption.
About the Met Office Weather Warnings
BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.
Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.
Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.
There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.
A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.
When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings
About Flood Warnings
The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.
Find out more about Flood Warnings
There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.
Floodline - 0345 988 1188
Monday 20 April Published at 10:00
The weather is certainly springing around!
Last week the UK saw a range of weather conditions that typify spring in this part of the world. Through the first half of the week, some parts of western Scotland saw well over 100 millimetres of rain (that's around 4 inches) whilst southern England and Wales simultaneously enjoyed warm, sunny days with temperatures peaking into the high teens or low twenties. In fact, last Wednesday brought the highest temperature observed anywhere in the UK so far this year, with Frittenden in Kent recording 25.1 Celsius during that
afternoon. That said, even in the warmer regime across southern areas, early morning mist and fog made for a cool and dull start for many. Interestingly, some of the same areas of the country that experienced warm daytime conditions were also affected by overnight frosts! With winds strengthening across eastern parts of the UK by the end of the week, we really did cover a lot of bases in terms of weather types through the course of last week!
So what type of weather should we expect across the UK over the coming weeks? In short, the answer is; a similarly wide range of weather conditions like those observed last week! This week looks as if the high pressure that has brought a lot of dry and settled conditions in recent days will gradually give way to a wetter and windier spell by the weekend. The following week looks like being an unsettled affair, and perhaps a little cooler than we might expect. Beyond that, there is a fair amount of uncertainty in the forecast, but a reasonably vernal mix looks most likely to persist well into the start of May.
Read on to find out the details...
Monday 20 April—Sunday 26 April
Mostly dry and calm at first but changes afoot.
A dominant anticyclone brought a dry and sunny Saturday for all parts of the UK, but by Sunday, a week weather system drifted across central and northern parts to bring cloudy skies and a few spots of rain. Monday started with the remnants of that system clearing away to the northwest, with a fine and dry afternoon expected to follow for the UK at large.
High pressure is indeed expected to retake firm control over the UK weather again for the majority of the week, with an anticyclone centred over or just to the north of the UK. This set-up should bring a lot of fine and dry weather by day. Temperatures are expected to climb gradually day by day, with highs across western areas peaking in the high teens by mid to late week. That said, with the high being centred to the north of the UK, it's most likely that winds will be predominantly from the northeast, such that eastern parts of the UK will tend to be on the cloudier side at times, and some North Sea coasts could be a little on the chilly side at times. With plenty of clear sky around, the overnight periods could be a bit chilly too, particularly across northwestern parts of the UK, where a touch of frost is likely across rural locations overnight.
As we move towards the end of the week the dominant high is expected to gradually give way weather systems to encroaching from the southwest, and also the northwest. This means that as we move into the weekend, we can expect wetter and windier conditions to gradually take over for most areas, with daytime highs significantly down in comparison to midweek.
Monday 27 April—Sunday 3 May
A typical April week, with showers as standard
April is expected to end on a changeable note, which is exactly the sort of weather we'd usually expect to see at this time of year! Current forecast trends suggest that the jet stream will be suitably positioned to drive some fairly showery conditions in off the Atlantic. This means that the most likely scenario is for all areas to see some wet and windy weather from time to time through the course of this period. The most frequent and heaviest showers are likely to be across western parts of the UK, with the best chance of any prolonged drier interludes to be across southeast England. Most places should see a fair amount of spring sunshine in between the showery bands though. Although daytime maximum temperatures are expected to be at around the average or perhaps just a touch below for late April/early May, there is a reasonable chance that, should winds fall light during overnight periods, a touch of frost will form across rural locations.
Monday 4 May—Sunday 17 May
April showers bring forth...May showers (probably)
Moving into the longer range period, we usually expect the confidence in the forecast to diminish to a certain degree. However, that confidence level is particularly low moving into the first part of May, with different computer model forecasts giving a wide range of very different solutions. As a result, there is a good deal of uncertainty regarding the weather conditions expected over the UK during this period. However, there are just some indications which suggest a continuation of the changeable conditions we anticipate for the end of April. As always, we'll keep you posted.
Edging towards summer, can we expect any warmth to come our way in late May? Find out next week...
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 27 April
Sunday 26 April Published at 14:36
Mostly dry tonight with a patchy frost in places.
This Evening and Tonight
Most places will be dry and clear, leading to a cold night with a patchy frost in places. However, further wintry showers will continue to affect parts of northern Scotland and later across Northern Ireland.
Sunny spells and showers for many parts. Showers most frequent in the north and west, locally heavy and thundery, and wintry across some northern areas. Windy and rather cold.
Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday
Rather cold and breezy throughout with sunshine and showers, heavy in places and wintry across some northern areas. More persistent rain and strong winds on Wednesday, clearing eastwards on Thursday.