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Tuesday, 11 February, 2003
Red sky at night
Sunset
Red sky at night, shepherds delight

This month BBC weatherman Paul Hudson looks at weather lore and 'old wives tales'.

But of course there is also a summary of January's weather with a few statistics.

SEE ALSO

Paul's weather reports:

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2004
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2003
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2002
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Latest forecast for the region

A2Z of weather terms

Twilight gallery

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FACTS

 Rainfall - 61mm

 Sunshine - 55 hours

 Average daytime temp 7c
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Paul hudson
Paul Hudson

This month I have been researching into weather lore, prompted by a series of spectacular sunsets and sunrises visible across much of the region.

In fact, although the subject largely consists of 'old wives tales', the most famous one of all is one of the most reliable around and with sound scientific background.

Red sky at night, Shepherds delight

There are two explanations for this saying.

 The passage of a cold front eastwards will allow the setting sun in the west to reflect off the tops of the cloud causing a reddening of the sky at dusk.

The passage of a cold front causes a rise in pressure, and more especially for eastern parts of the region, a couple of days of decent weather.

 High pressure usually means fine weather. An inversion is also associated with this, which effectively is a 'lid' on the atmosphere which acts to trap dust and other pollutants.

The setting sunlight is scattered by these particles, leaving the longest wavelength, red, to illuminate the evening sky.

So, if the sky is red, it can illustrate the inversion and high pressure is in place and the next day often is fine.

Red sky in the morning, Shepherds warning

Here's one explanation for the other half of this saying.

 A warm front slopes forwards, and the first hint of such an approaching front is very high (often invisible) cirrus cloud at around 36000 feet.

As the sun rises in the east, it reflects on this ice cloud, again turning red as the light is scattered.

Hence if the weather conditions are appropriate, a red sky in the morning can mean an approaching weather front and rain in the next 12 hours.

Monthly Statistics

January was generally a better month than average, with mean temperatures slightly higher than normal.

It was also drier and sunnier than normal.
Rainfall for the month - 61mm (Long term average 87mm)
Sunshine - 55 hours (LTA 43 hours)
Daytime temperatures 7C (LTA 6.5C)

 

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