Florida piles pressure on Gingrich
Romney's campaign was revitalised after his South Carolina defeat
This victory proved some of the truths strategists prefer to speak behind closed doors, not on cable TV. Money matters. Negative works. Go for the kill.
The biggest losers in Florida were those who like their politics civil, reasonable, and with the emotion stripped out.
Mitt Romney proved himself quite an operator. He crushed Newt Gingrich with a series of very negative TV adverts, attacking the former speaker's character and suitability to be president. He showed some fire in the debate.
But above all this came down to money. He spent at least $16m in Florida in the last month alone. He put out 13,000 TV ads. Gingrich had around 200.
By contrast Newt Gingrich pulled his punches in the debates, tried to be presidential and just didn't make much impact. He drew back, to an extent, from attacking the way Romney made his money. He repeated the charges, added to them a little, but then pulled back.
There was no display of a killer instinct. Gingrich's appeal is his curmudgeonly aggression and barely suppressed fury with the state of the world. When he doesn't have fire in his belly he doesn't inspire the angry conservative base who gave him victory in South Carolina.
I don't doubt that Newt is genuine when he stands in front of signs reading "The Next 46 States" and says that he is going to contest every state and win. He certainly might do better in some of the southern ones than the microcosm of the USA that is Florida.
He might be right. I suspect there will be some more good news for Newt sometime in the next few months. There'll be thrills and spills along the way, that some will declare have "upended" the campaign, just as they did after South Carolina.
But does he want to drag out the agony of almost inevitable eventual defeat right until Super Tuesday in early March? He probably does. But the pressure will be on for him to quit, for the sake of the party.
~RS~q~RS~~RS~z~RS~09~RS~)



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Comment number 1.
JClarkson1st February 2012 - 3:51
"But above all this came down to money. He spent at least $16m in Florida in the last month alone. He put out 13,000 TV ads. Gingrich had around 200. "
. It always does. How do you think BO got elected? It wasn't on Hope, it was on change. Lots of pocket change...
Romney has strong support from Wall Street and financially, it shows.
BTW, no mention of "Doctor" Ron Paul and his 7% showing? :)
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Comment number 2.
Andy Post1st February 2012 - 3:51
"But above all this came down to money."
Maybe. Then again, why didn't South Carolina come down to money, Mark? Everyone said that Gingrich's win in that state was due to his debate performance. Romney reversed that in Florida, and yet you say that's not the reason he won? It was all about money, was it?
You're sure about that, are you?
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Comment number 3.
KScurmudgeon1st February 2012 - 4:12
Don't forget the struggle for control of the Republican Party. The power brokers may have used the radical Right's energy and freshness in 2010 to get back on their feet, but there is no way they're going to allow them to govern.
The financial interests are determined to get their man nominated and they can not be outspent Then can the people be led to vote against their interests? Yes they can-
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Comment number 4.
LimeyLady1st February 2012 - 4:13
Mitt Romney saturated the television
with Smear and Fear
Adds paid for by the Super PACs that back him
Co-ordinated enough to
give a consistent theme
and hopefully be seen as legal
Very Questionable but
a winning strategy
GOP strategy and GOP Super PACs
will kick in when he gets close
to the nomination
and continue the Smear & Fear
Marketing theme so Super PACs
can put their $'s behind their man
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Comment number 5.
KScurmudgeon1st February 2012 - 4:35
This ain't over 'tho.
Populism rises when folks don't think they can also become wealthy - when they feel the system is stacked against them. If the Republicans can't make a case that it is really possible, they are vulnerable and all their money will just count against them.
It takes millions to get lower taxes.
An education comes with decades of debt
Middle class taxes pay for bankers mistakes
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Comments 5 of 185