Timothy Geithner's Grand tour

 
US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner talks to the media in Washington on 1 December Geithner's tour suggests a heavy US involvement

When I was based in Europe travelling to this capital or that, I would get used to seeing groups of slightly bewildered American tourists being frog-marched around the seminal sights of one ancient capital before being whisked away to the next country, the next capital.

Hang on to your hats, if it's Tuesday, it must be Paris.

The US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is doing his own version of the modern Grand Tour this week.

His diary looks like this: Tuesday morning - Frankfurt, European Central Bank's president. Tuesday afternoon - Berlin, German finance minister. Wednesday - Paris, President Nicolas Sarkozy. Wednesday afternoon - Marseille, new Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy. Thursday - Milan, Italian prime minister. Home for the weekend.

The only wonder is he's not going to the big summit itself. This is by any standards a very deep involvement in Europe's affairs by an American politician. It is the sort of tour of capitals that you usually only see on the eve of war.

I suspect when the history of this crisis is written, we'll see that the White House has played a rather big role. It is hardly surprising, given what's at stake. But is President Barack Obama prepared to do anything beyond exhortation and advice?

White House worried

The very fact Mr Geithner is doing all this is a deliberate signal. It suggests that the White House is still worried that the eurozone countries won't do enough, and need to be kept up to the mark (or perhaps from returning to it).

President Obama constantly tells the American public that the biggest danger to the American economy is "headwinds" from Europe. Mark Dow, from Pharo management, says the danger to the US from a European meltdown is not from trade but what he calls "emotional contagion" through the financial markets. He says he hopes that Geithner receives a better reception that when he turned up to a European finance ministers' meeting in Poland and was rather given the cold shoulder. He says the US treasury secretary has "battlefield experience" and that some smaller countries may find ideas easier to swallow when they are proposed by outsiders, than by France and Germany.

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Obama's timidity is easy to understand”

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The trip is also a way of keeping a close eye on what's going on, and perhaps what's going wrong. Geithner is likely to get part of what he wants. Now Germany has got the assurances that all the eurozone countries will stick to the rules or face punishment, it may be more inclined to allow the European Central Bank to come to the rescue of those in trouble.

It is less certain what the US treasury secretary will say about the role of the International Monetary Fund. There have been been rumours that America will dig into its pockets to help out. Some think that Geithner has his present ready and will play Santa before the week is out.

But Thomas Kliene-Brockhoff of the German Marshall Foundation of the United States is less certain. He doesn't see signs of movement although he thinks it would be in America's interests. He told me it is in America's tactical interest to help fund a rescue plan to prevent a recession, and in its strategic interest not to be Europe's "white knight", rather than allow the Brics [Brazil, Russia, India and China] to ride to their rescue. He says America is now echoing the very faults it has been pointing out in the European Union: "Too timid, too slow, not courageous enough."

If that is the case, Obama's timidity is easy to understand. Many Americans are already angry that the American central bank bailed out American banks, without adding a bail-out for European banks to the charge sheet, too.

 
Mark Mardell Article written by Mark Mardell Mark Mardell North America editor

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  • rate this
    -1

    Comment number 84.

    So now b/c Germany+France etc invested so much in Eurozone
    they want it to succeed

    In order for this to happen, they want to
    'run the other countries for them'
    until they get out of debt

    The question is:
    How long will it take for European countries to get out of debt?

    Is this several years
    or like
    thirty years?

  • rate this
    -1

    Comment number 83.

    No one's the bad guy in this

    Germany+France seem like they are overstepping but in reality,
    they are the ones footing the bill

    The other countries do not want to give up their national soverighnty

    The thing is if Germany+France didn't want to keep Euro
    they could have let it fail initially

    Instead they poured more+more money into it
    And now they don't want it to be for nothing

  • rate this
    -1

    Comment number 82.

    Pmk: Still no solution

    Britain is uneasy b/c they don't want to lose their power+status if Germany+France take over

    I think that all Europeans should have a vote in their countries on whether or not they want to be one Europe or not

    What solution they come up w/ somebody is going to be unhappy

    At least then they could say Well that was Voters Choice

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 81.

    Thurday early evening.

    Still no solution, with the most recent wires reporting no agreement on eurobonds and/or ECB extra lending powers.

    A fundamental disagreement not likely to be resolved on this Friday.

    Or on any other Friday.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 80.

    @ 13. and 17.
    That's right. That's all you have to know about Geithners Grand Tour.

    By the way, it's Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff, Mr Madrell.

 

Comments 5 of 84

 

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