Eurozone back in recession

 
Anti-austerity protesters in Madrid, 14 November Millions of Europeans took industrial action on Wednesday

The eurozone is back in its second recession since 2009. Double dip is here.

Both France and Germany managed modest growth in the third quarter, but their economies are slowing. The eurozone's strongest economies cannot escape the ill winds blowing elsewhere.

Spain is now in the second year of recession. Its economy has been shrinking for 15 months. The economy which saw the biggest fall in the last quarter was the Netherlands - it shrank by 1.1%. Both northern and southern Europe are hurting.

The charge levelled at Germany and the European Commission is that they under-estimated the effects of austerity on output. There are signs that the Commission is backtracking. Spain is the latest country to be allowed to miss targets for reducing its deficit and to be granted a reprieve. Portugal and Greece have also been granted more time.

The eurozone is in a bind. Its policy is to reduce deficits and to adopt structural reforms, such as greater flexibility in the labour market. The heart of the problem, however, is the lack of competitiveness of many southern countries in relation to Germany. The gap cannot be narrowed by devaluation in a monetary union. The only option is to slash wages and pensions and to reduce unit labour costs. That, of course, weakens demand and pushes countries further into recession.

That is what is driving the massive protests - the sense that countries face years of hardship. The single currency is not seen as delivering higher living standards, but pain. And next year the European Commission sees growth of 0.1% at best.

There are some green shoots: Spain and Portugal's exports are doing well, but it is doubtful that exports alone will return these countries to growth. What they may indicate is that over time some of the reforms will bring benefits, but Europe does not have time.

It was noticeable last night in Madrid that when Chancellor Angela Merkel's name was mentioned the boos echoed around the crowd. One of the leaders of the union which organised the protests said today "nothing is getting better. The situation is getting worse". The size of the crowds on the streets last night - maybe 300,000, maybe more - should serve as a warning that Europe's people will not be patient for ever.

The President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, has spoken of "a slow, gradual, but also solid recovery". It does not feel that way and Europe's officials have a poor record in judging this crisis.

Today's figures and the street protests are likely to strengthen the hands of those who say the current policy is damaging Europe's economy.

 
Gavin Hewitt, Europe editor Article written by Gavin Hewitt Gavin Hewitt Europe editor

The realities of re-negotiating Europe

UK Prime Minister David Cameron's proposal to re-negotiate the terms of its EU membership will meet stiff opposition in the eurozone, the BBC's Gavin Hewitt writes.

Read full article

More on This Story

Comments

This entry is now closed for comments

Jump to comments pagination
 
 

Comments 5 of 394

 

Features & Analysis

  • Medical scan of brain tumourSick art Watch

    The strange beauty of infections under the microscope


  • Beyonce, a US tax form, and Bea ArthurTweets of the week

    Congress, Beyonce's baby and Toronto mayor in 140 characters


  • Cast members from the American cast of  The Office pose with awards given by the Screen Actors GuildClocking out

    How US version of The Office reflected on America - and UK


  • Giuseppe Pesce getting into a police carMost wanted

    What happened when an Italian mafia boss handed himself in


Elsewhere on the BBC

  • MercedesStory of the S-Class

    Mercedes-Benz has been producing the model since 1972. BBC Autos looks back at its history

Programmes

  • The night sky in ChileFast Track Watch

    Stargazing in Chile – visit the best place on earth to see the heavens above

BBC © 2013 The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites. Read more.

This page is best viewed in an up-to-date web browser with style sheets (CSS) enabled. While you will be able to view the content of this page in your current browser, you will not be able to get the full visual experience. Please consider upgrading your browser software or enabling style sheets (CSS) if you are able to do so.