Tony Abbott: The politics of 'No'

 

When Tony Abbott used to clamber into the boxing ring during his student days at Oxford, he would deploy a visualisation technique intended to bring maximum aggression to the fore: he imagined that he was fighting the former Labor Prime Minister, Bob Hawke.

Tony Abbot in a coal mine. Photo: June 2011 Mr Tough Guy: Tony Abbott is always looking for a political opening

Of all the things I have read about the Liberal opposition leader, none offers quite such a revealing insight into his political character.

This is a man who clearly relishes a bruising encounter; a devout partisan who rarely misses an opportunity to pummel his Labor opponents, whether real or imagined; a man, above all, who views politics as conflict.

Over the past 18 months, Tony Abbott has been the surprise package of federal politics.

Written off initially by many as a kind of anti-Moses - someone who would lead the Liberals into the political wilderness rather than away from it - he actually took his party to the brink of victory in last year's federal election.

'Tear-down Tony'

In its inconclusive aftermath, he even took to calling himself the prime minister-in-waiting, which seemed a little presumptuous then and even more so now.

Julia Gillard. Photo: June 2011 Julia Gillard has accepted Mr Abbott's challenge by simply saying: "Game on."

Since then, he has shifted from presenting himself as an alternative prime minister, and been in full leader of the opposition mode.

Some are calling him "Tear-down Tony", because of his rejectionism and obstructionism.

Every day, he is looking for a political opening, whether performing for the cameras in the kind of fluorescent-orange safety jackets that you normally tend to see during election campaigns, or heading off to Nauru - the site of one of the detention centres using by the Howard government as part of its "Pacific Solution" - to talk tough on asylum seekers.

Recently, he even used a welcome speech for New Zealand Prime Minister John Key to lambaste the government's plans for a carbon tax - a move which seemed to breach normal diplomatic protocols.

Dead heat

The Labor jibe is that Abbott is "all opposition and no leader".

The thing is, his tactics have worked - up to a point. The Liberals are leading Labor in the polls, and Julia Gillard's standing is at an all-time low.

Doubtless the prime minister is the author of many of her own misfortunes, but Mr Abbott has helped expose many of her deficiencies.

"Game on," she said, sotto voce, when he shook her hand in the well of the House of Representatives on the day that she became prime minister.

At present, however, Tony Abbott is winning the daily and weekly battle for half-decent poll numbers - which is essentially what politics here has been reduced to.

But Mr Abbott's success as a leader of the opposition has not answered the question raised when he ousted Malcolm Turnbull in 2010: does he come across as a plausible prime minister?

Though he prevented Ms Gillard from winning an outright victory at last year's election, he fell short of gaining a majority himself.

Even though he has dented the prime minister's popularity, he has essentially brought her down to his own low approval rating.

In a recent poll, they both scored 46% - a kind of dead heat for second place. For just as voters regularly tell pollsters they prefer Kevin Rudd over Julia Gillard, the same is true of Malcolm Turnbull and Tony Abbott.

'Political pygmies'

All this suggests that Mr Abbott is struggling to move beyond the politics of "No" and the politics of "Stop".

His four-point manifesto at the last election was largely bereft of vision: to end wasteful spending, to pay back Labor's debt, to stop Labor's new taxes and to stop the boats.

One "end" and two "stops".

No wonder Peter Hartcher of the Sydney Morning Herald has noted that Mr Abbott "offers little more than the negation of [Gillard]".

To these criticisms has been added the charge that Mr Abbott is relying on crude populism to propel him to power.

Channel Nine's political editor Laurie Oakes, who has called both Mr Abbott and Ms Gillard "political pygmies", wrote this over the weekend: "During the week, Tony Abbott lavished praise on a company investing AU $50m [£36m] in a recycling plant 'that will convert garbage into power'. It was not a bad description of what the Opposition Leader himself is up to."

Here there is an irony, for Mr Abbott is one of the few Australians politicians to think deeply enough about his political beliefs to publish them in book form - although, tellingly, his credo was entitled Battlelines.

Similarly, there are not many politicians here who spend a week each year in an Aboriginal community in an attempt to get a better handle on the problems of indigenous Australia.

So a question: can Tony Abbott "stop" and "no" his way to the Lodge?

 
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  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 13.

    Tony is just not credible as a PM.

    Most adults realise that you can not cut taxes and public debt/deficit simply by 'cutting waste', does he imagine he will come to power and find ten billion dollars being spent on biscuits?

    Small government is a laudable position but you have to tell people what you are going to cut, and why.

    Visionaries don't just criticise, they promote their alternatives.

  • rate this
    +1

    Comment number 12.

    Its not about saying yes, it's about providing an alternative. Tony does not do this.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 11.

    Abbott is simply a shill for big business and his mates: pretty interchangeable in other words.

    He is an old school narrow-minded religious extremist, and very good hater of anything that falls outside of that narrow world view.

    It will be a pleasure to see him fail - again.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 10.

    Personally I see nothing wrong with the so-called 'politics of no'. What we usually get are endless efforts to increase the size and power of government, more and more regulation for regulation's sake, an ever more intrusive nanny state, and wasteful new 'initiatives' requiring new taxes to fund them. Anyone who campaigns to reverse this is a breath of fresh air in politics, and would get my vote.

  • rate this
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    Comment number 9.

    His four-point manifesto at the last election was largely bereft of vision: to end wasteful spending, to pay back Labor's debt, to stop Labor's new taxes and to stop the boats.

    His vision was clear to some. To those 4 objectives we would simply say...
    again ,again, again, and again.

    Labors vision(or guesswork)has gone terribly wrong not knowing which way to turn on every major issue. Blind

  • rate this
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    Comment number 8.

    The answer is probably yes, because the vast majority Australians are deeply conservative and fundamentally resistant to change. They do not want any changes to reduce Australia's carbon emissions, changes to subsidies for the private health insurance industry, negative gearing etc. They do not want any changes to let refugee children out of detention camps etc. Tony Abbott knows 'no' is a winner.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 7.

    The electorate eventually stop listening to repetitive negativity. Those polled want to send a message of dissatisfaction toward the Gillard Gov't rather than a vote for Abbott & are not serious as the election is two years off. With a real possibility of Abbott as PM, the electorate will baulk, wanting to vote for constructive policies rather than negativity. Turnbull wld be a different prospect.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 6.

    Didn't this bloke have a dig at the scientists & economists because they're all for the tax/trading scheme?
    Bah! Who needs these "experts" when we have Popeye Tony on the job! Eh, lads? Hoo ra.
    This thing is now certain to get through parliament. Tear-down Tony might be good at talking up opposition, but has he actually stopped a government bill yet?
    All slogan & no Speedo…

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 5.

    The proposition appears to be that saying yes will improve the Opposition's cause. Agreeing to such things as the BER, Pink Batts and the movable feast which is the "carbon tax" won't improve Abbott's position. Also, why would saying "yes" to the Malaysian solution be a positive. In that case a little negativity has got to be a good thing. No dissent is allowed in Labor and is that a good thing?

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 4.

    3.tinytrev
    7th July 2011 - 23:51
    Why do you consistently refer to Julia Gillard as "Mrs Gillard"? Famously she is not married to her de-facto, and "Ms Gillard" is the style adopted universally within Australia.

    I think its "did you spot the deliberate mistake?". So..well done Trev.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 3.

    Why do you consistently refer to Julia Gillard as "Mrs Gillard"? Famously she is not married to her de-facto, and "Ms Gillard" is the style adopted universally within Australia.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 2.

    In a word .... NO.

  • rate this
    -1

    Comment number 1.

    Had anyone been able to run against Hitler or Stalin, would he have been called unduly negative? Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard can't be called tyrants of that stripe, but since 2008 Labor has run some incredibly foolish policies. The only Aussies who'll dismiss opposition to these mere gainsaying are those who hope that left-of-centre types remain in power whatever further damage they do.

 

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