Lib Dem election results, predictions and UKIP threat
7 March 2014 Last updated at 14:14 GMT
Liberal Democrats are meeting for their spring conference with minds focussed on May's local and European elections, and party president Tim Farron has warned the party could be wiped out.
With ministers in government, they no longer attract the protest vote and they have been pushed into fourth place in some elections, with UKIP on the rise.
For the Daily Politics, Alex Forsyth looked at the Lib Dem fortunes in recent and not-so-recent elections, with predictions for 2014 and 2015 polls.