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US pollster Nate Silver on UK and US election results

1 May 2013 Last updated at 14:18 BST

A US pollster who accurately predicted the last US presidential results reckoned Labour would win an overall majority in the UK today, but it was "a bit early to make a call" on the 2015 general election.

Nate Silver said the polls were most likely to give a clear idea about six to eight weeks from election day. But he reckoned Lib Dems "won't have a lot of seats in the next government".

Times writer Philip Collins reckoned there would an "indecisive election" with Tories set to win the most seats, but the Lib Dems were the most likely of the three largest parties to be part of the next government,

Daily Politics film on political predictions and Nate Silver's foxes and hedgehogs

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