Climategate: Operation Cabin files released by police

 
Cyber crime

Last night BBC Radio 4 broadcast a documentary about the Climategate affair, in which thousands of documents mysteriously obtained from a computer server at the University of East Anglia were released onto the internet in 2009.

The material belonged to some of the world's leading climate scientists and caused them difficulty just before the major United Nations Copenhagen summit on climate change.

Called Climategate Revisited, the programme examined the impact of the ensuing controversy about the conduct of climate science on public opinion, media reporting and the scientific community. It was produced by me.

Making a radio documentary is always an exercise in trying to squeeze a quart into a pint pot. Your researches invariably collect more information and recordings than it is possible to fit into the allocated slot.

Since in this case some unbroadcast material comes from a freedom of information request, I thought I should write about it here. So this contains some additional information about the police inquiry beyond what was in the programme.

More released

Norfolk police investigated the possible criminal hacking of the university's computer system, until they announced in July they were abandoning the operation. Proceedings under the relevant part of the Computer Misuse Act have to be brought within three years. Since they had not yet identified a suspect, they said there was no prospect of a prosecution within the time limit.

I submitted an FOI request for some of the files compiled during their inquiry, called Operation Cabin. The first point I should make about their response is that they released much more information than in any previous case in my experience where the police have been asked about such a recent investigation. I did not get all the material I requested, but they did send a number of interesting documents.

During the operation some people queried whether the Norfolk force had sufficient expertise to run a specialist technical cybercrime inquiry. This concern is reinforced by the files released.

'Impressive'

The operation was reviewed by a senior counter-terrorism officer who concluded that "there are national units both in policing and with partner agencies that have specialist knowledge and skills that would have added value to the inquiry."

He did praise the Norfolk investigators for their "impressive" commitment, adding that most UK police forces have little specialist capability in this arena.

The Norfolk investigation was led by Detective Superintendent Julian Gregory, who has since retired. He told us: "We sought assistance from a number of quarters and we probably didn't get everything we wanted."

"If you look at national assets, they've all got their own workloads," he said. "We got the technical support we needed from counter-terrorist command, but other units had their own priorities."

Another document shows that the police decided not to make a media appeal for information to assist the investigation during the Copenhagen climate summit (known as COP15), because "with COP15 still underway in Copenhagen raising awareness still further may have an negative impact on the conference".

'Speculation'

Some may be surprised that the police would allow these apparently political considerations to affect their conduct of an investigation.

Former Det Supt Gregory explained that "we didn't want to create even more speculation around that conference". But he also stated that more significant was a practical consideration, a feeling that the police infrastructure might not be able to cope with the deluge of calls which could result.

Other files released show that the University of East Anglia was represented on the Gold Group which oversaw the strategy of the investigation. Meetings were attended by Brian Summers, the UEA Registrar.

I was initially surprised to discover this, since one hypothesis the police had to investigate was whether it could have been an "inside job" in which a UEA employee had leaked the material, acting as a kind of whistleblower. But I gather from other police sources I have talked to since that this is not necessarily unusual.

"We'd often engage the people we think need to be involved in a Gold Group," former Det Supt Gregory told us. "Presence at the meeting doesn't give any undue influence or anything untoward like that. It was appropriate that they were engaged and we understood their perspective as we undertook our work."

Constraints

But he added there were constraints on what he said at the Gold meetings. "Where appropriate I would not enlarge on certain lines of enquiry. I would deal with those in a more private context. I never felt compromised as the senior investigator."

The disclosures also reveal how the police worked their way through certain websites on which Climategate had been discussed, printing off and filing away, for example, a list of staff at the Taxpayers' Alliance.

And they also contain a list of operational tasks actioned, plans for forensic examination of UEA computing equipment, and questionnaires for police interviews, which included asking people for their stance on climate change.

However, there was other information which the Norfolk police refused to release, such as the identity of those countries from which they sought help with the investigation. They argued that this could damage future international cooperation.

These are some of the documents released by the police:

PDF download Operation Cabin review[88KB]

PDF download Operation Cabin media strategy[25KB]

PDF download Gold Group minutes[61KB]

PDF download Record of actions[118KB]

PDF download Taxpayers' Alliance staff list[94KB]

PDF download Forensic computer examination[112KB]

PDF download Questionnaire for CRU staff interviews[61KB]

 
Martin Rosenbaum, Freedom of information specialist Article written by Martin Rosenbaum Martin Rosenbaum Freedom of information specialist

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  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 85.

    Overpopulation!!!

    Developed countries highest proportion of CO2 from fossil fuels.
    Impoverished countries emissions are highest from human emissions until the country starts developing then fossil fuel goes into the ascendancy.

    I think we are kidding ourselves if we can reverse what is happening, especially in the timescale that has been suggested.

  • rate this
    +1

    Comment number 84.

    If the BP funded research into the cause of the increase in global temperature says it was probably caused by man, shouldn't this issue be over with already?
    Established climate scientists, geologists, biologists, oceanographers and now the oil lobby are all saying it's man made.
    Fine, we have our answer. Now can we please get on with fixing it?

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 83.

    @71 - show me your proof please. Have a read of this please, I have no interest in your conspiracies: http://judithcurry.com/2011/02/14/blame-on-heartland-cato-marshall-etc/

    Also perhaps some of you might want to look at the work of Doug Keenan - he has no interest in Climate Change but is concerned with scientific fraud.

    http://www.informath.org/

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 82.

    #81 That cuts both ways, I suspect a lot of people who are skeptical about how much influence humans hare are more so because of sloppy journalism declaring that something is beyond question, only to see a while later further research actually delving into the questions that are there. Even more so when it's a field that is developing

  • rate this
    +2

    Comment number 81.

    77.Drunken Hobo


    Agreed, sensationalist jounralism doesn't help one little bit - almost without fail when folk say "scientists reckon this or that" what they're read is not what the scientists in question said, but what a sloppy journalist said.

    Hence why so much of the deniers "evidence" is so wrong.....

  • rate this
    +1

    Comment number 80.

    @78

    Fish were never meant to be put in bowls. . . . . . .It's all down to humans.

  • rate this
    +1

    Comment number 79.

    Maybe all the paperwork should be 'open' for everyone to see and debate anyway. I think we all have the right to know what scientists have found so that we can make informed choices on how we are choosing to live. If we are not allowed to see or discuss it, it makes me think there are things to hide

  • rate this
    +1

    Comment number 78.

    72.Justin150 - "....accept that man has had some effect on the climate just not as much as the more alarmist predictions.."

    Agree completely with you on this. By living, breathing, moving etc on this planet, we humans are bound to have some effect on it. Think of your goldfish happily swiming around. Just being there, after a week or so, the water quality has deteriorated and needs changing.

  • rate this
    +2

    Comment number 77.

    74 Little_Old_Me - Sensationalist journalism often ignores the idea of range. A report was published estimating that between 15-1300 people may die due to the radiation from Fukushima. Within minutes, hundreds of headlines were stating "1300 May Die From Fukushima!" Similarly, if temperature is estimated to increase by 2-8°C, alarmists will jump on the 8°C figure & denialists on the 2°C figure.

  • rate this
    -5

    Comment number 76.

    This is like the Heaven's Gate sect who thought a spaceship in the Halle-Boop comet would rescue them.

    They bought a big telescope to see the alien craft and saw the comet but no spaceship. Did they change their beliefs with clear evidence they were wrong.

    No they returned the telescope because it wasn't working!

    So how long does the globe not need to warm-up before we can dismiss this too?

  • rate this
    -5

    Comment number 75.

    I once believed all the global warming hype/stories. Then I joined the Open University, did umpteen science courses and since then have realised what nonsense it always was, and still is. If it were real, name a single island anywhere in the world that has sank beneath the waves. At least one should have by now in the 32+ yrs since I first heard about it.

  • rate this
    +2

    Comment number 74.

    72.Justin150 - "....accept that man has had some effect on the climate just not as much as the more alarmist predictions....."


    Climate scientists have long given their predictions as a range between min, max & most likely in between - as time wears on the actual measurements mostly fit with the worst case sceanrio......as in the alarmust predictions are coming true in large part......

  • rate this
    -1

    Comment number 73.

    #70 Is there a comparison of the emission rates against that? Also what section are you discounting around the 1940s? From the looks of it the gradient from 1910 to 1930 looks to be almost the same as the later rate of increase, plus the flattening out between 1960 to 1980. Also the section from 1880 to 1910 does seem to indicate a decline (discounting the hump) despite the industrial revolution

  • rate this
    -2

    Comment number 72.

    I suspect most people accept that man has had some effect on the climate just not as much as the more alarmist predictions.

    One reading of climategate is that it is nothing unusual in science - maybe the data is a bit ropy, possibly some data has been deleted or manipulated so that the conclusion matches the perceived "right" result. Looking at the pharma industry this is sadly too common

  • rate this
    +4

    Comment number 71.

    @68 Jackcoper - Given their funding sources, their political agenda, and the investaments being made by members of the GWPF in oil exploration platforms, I would seriously not trust anything published that organisation.
    Financiers, politicians and petrolium company sponsored organisations can not be trusted and should not be claiming to be charities rather than lobbiests.

  • rate this
    +4

    Comment number 70.

    69.Arcid
    "as (CO2) emissions rise rates should rise."

    And so they do.

    http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.A2.gif

    Without the hump in the 1940's the curve is roughly logarithmic, steepening with time.

  • rate this
    -1

    Comment number 69.

    #65 It gets more interesting when you look at what is and isn't detailed in that paper. The change in temperature due to CO2 is detailed, but there seems to be no info on how this would interact with other forcings.

    Question though. Is there a comparison of CO2 emissions versus rate of the change in the temperature? as those reports would indicate that as emissions rise rates should rise

  • rate this
    -4

    Comment number 68.

    For anyone really interested in what Climategate was actually about rather than reading the abuse (why do the BBC moderators accept this???) and lies from the advocates in this BBC echo chamber have a read of this:

    http://www.thegwpf.org/the-climategate-inquries/

    Then make up your own minds. And by the way the police don't know whether it was a hack or a whistle blower.

  • rate this
    -4

    Comment number 67.

    What's really worrying is the emails where the so called scientists were asking their colleagues to delete emails and to prevent other scientists publishing their work. In my opinion for that alone they should have been sacked. If they were true to science, they would welcome other scientists analysing their data to try and discover what is really going on.

  • rate this
    -6

    Comment number 66.

    Politicians pay scientists that support their polices end of, deal with it suckers

 

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