Savings needed to meet future demand for resources

 
Steel works, Turkey (Getty Images) The global steel industry accounts for 10% of the world's annual emissions

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Governments need to spark a lightweight revolution in the way things are made so the world can keep up with the demand for resources, say scientists.

They say homes will have to be built with less cement; cars with less steel; and gadgets with less plastic.

And it will need to be done in a way that radically cuts emissions from producing the materials, they add.

These are among the conclusions presented in the journal Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A.

Several papers in the journal tackle the dual problem created by the increased demand for goods as people grow richer and population increase, coupled with the threat of climate change.

One paper warns that unless demand for materials from UK primary industry is reduced, Britain will need the equivalent of a four-fold increase in nuclear power or a 40-fold increase in wind power to meet its target of a 80% reduction in carbon emissions by 2050 from pre-industrial levels.

The paper, by UK government chief energy scientist Prof David MacKay, says readers can draw their own conclusions as to whether it is feasible to generate this amount of clean energy.

'Little incentive'

Another author, Julian Allwood, from Cambridge University, has been studying the five most energy-intensive sectors: steel, aluminium, cement, plastics and paper.

Landfill site (Image: PA) Societies need to become less wasteful in the future, say scientists

He says these already use energy more efficiently than other sectors because their energy costs are high - so there is a finite amount they can improve.

The answer is for society to demand less of the materials in the first place, he says.

“We can use much less cement in buildings than we do at the moment,” he told BBC News.

“The thing is that it takes more time to design buildings with less cement, and it takes more effort for builders. Labour is expensive and cement – relatively – is cheap, so there’s little incentive to change."

Dr Allwood added that the same thing could be said of car manufacturing.

“Engineers are constantly improving engine efficiency but these improvements are being swallowed up because people want to drive bigger cars with more acceleration.

"That is something that governments could do something about if they wanted to.”

One idea would be to set standards so cars could not accelerate so fast, or that the mass of cars didn't increase.

One tenth of the world’s carbon emissions are produced by the steel industry.

Dr Allwood says that in order to meet CO2 targets, demand for new steel in the UK alone must be reduced to 30% of current levels.

The trick, he says, is to harness material efficiency so people can enjoy goods that are equivalent or almost equivalent.

A paper by Walter Stahel at the Product-Life Institute, Geneva, calls for "sustainable taxation" on resource-hungry goods to help the shift towards a "circular" economy where goods are-used and recycled.

He says this will create regional jobs, increase resource security, reduce consumption of non-renewable resources, increase material efficiency and prevent carbon emissions and industrial waste - all on a big scale.

Several papers have recently warned of the coming resource crunch. The UK independent think tank Chatham House said economies would be increasingly disrupted by often faraway disruptions in supply chains, and a report for the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries warned that some pensions might be wiped out by shortages of resources, water and energy.

The papers also examine the use of energy and emissions from heavy industry.

The studies warn that even if radical solutions are found to reduce emissions from this sector, governments will still need to tackle housing and transport if they are to make the cuts deemed necessary by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to have a good chance of staving off serious climate change.

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  • rate this
    -3

    Comment number 369.

    Come the day, one day, people will be told what they can and cannot have in a world of perpetual rationing.

    We have recently had an insight into extreme rationing because of unaffordability of cost, which resulted in Arab Spring, protests violence & death across middle east/Asia/Africa.

    I dont think mankind will volunteer itself to necessary existinal behaviours, so will be forced to conform

  • rate this
    -5

    Comment number 352.

    #317 people have been predicting that resources would run out for over 200 years and it has not happened yet It is a Malthusian fallacy It fails to take into account product substitution (eg: metal replacing wood for warship construction, gas replacing oil for heating), technical developments and similar

    At some point we may run out of resources on earth but then we have the universe to mine

  • rate this
    +19

    Comment number 216.

    The consumer society depends on unending growth of consumption which depends on unendingly persuading us that we are dissatisfied.

    How about a society where we aim to be content with what we have?

    Fewer jobs but fewer people working - until we can afford to retire with our thrifty, contented lifestyle at 50 or less.

  • rate this
    +28

    Comment number 164.

    It's amazing how much you can save in hard cash by not endlessly "upgrading". My car is 18 years old and still runs fine, my TV (CRT style) is 12 years old and still works fine, my stereo is 23 years old and still works like the day I bought it. Money saved over those years by not endlessly upgrading - tens of thousands of pounds. Surprisingly I don't have a mortgage any more.

  • rate this
    +31

    Comment number 161.

    The underlying cause of all increasing resource, environmental, and social pressures on our planet, is population growth, Until this is tackled world-wide, all the tinkering in the world with heavy industry, power generation, housing, transport, and trying to change peoples' behaviour, will not solve this.

 

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