Esa-Nasa Mars missions' race against clock

 
West Rim of Endeavour Crater on Mars (False Colour) The orbits of Mars and Earth mean there is only one launch window every 26 months or so

Europe and America are now in a race against time to rescue their plans for joint missions to Mars.

The space agencies (Esa and Nasa) want to send an orbiting satellite to the Red Planet in 2016, followed by a large rover two years later.

But funding woes on both sides of the Atlantic have put the ventures in doubt, certainly in their present form.

Unless solutions are found soon, there is a grave danger the 2016 and 2018 launch opportunities will be missed.

Officials are now looking at the possibility of making the ExoMars missions - as they are known in Europe - smaller in scale to reduce cost, or gaining additional funds by asking the Russians to enlist in the programme.

"We are now trying for certain recovery actions so that we can still do the missions," said Alvaro Gimenez, the director of science at Esa.

"We are determined to do these missions; Esa and Nasa want to do these missions, but we have to work within the budgetary constraints on both sides. We are working into it, but against the clock," he told BBC News.

No promises

European industry says it must start full-scale work very soon on the 2016 Trace Gas Orbiter or it cannot guarantee to have the spacecraft ready for launch in 2016.

With favourable Mars launch windows only occurring roughly every 26 months, a no-show at the launch pad from the orbiter would immediately put a big question mark against the rover mission, not least because the satellite is supposed to act as the surface vehicle's relay to get pictures and other data back to Earth.

Europe does not have all the money it needs to do the missions, but anxiety has been heightened in recent days following the inability once again of Nasa to make a full commitment to the ventures.

The 2016 ExoMars orbiter

2016 orbiter and landing demonstrator
  • It would study Mars' atmosphere for sources of methane and other trace gases
  • Methane is intriguing because its presence could indicate biological activity
  • 2016 would act as the relay station for the 2018 rover when it arrives at Mars
  • It would also demonstrate European technologies for landing on planets

Esa is waiting for the Americans to provide certain assurances that they will be in a position in 2018 to provide a rocket, an interplanetary cruise stage to take the rover to Mars, and a landing system to put it on the surface.

Those assurances were expected back in June, and did not materialise.

And at the latest meeting of Esa member states in Paris last week, the delegations were informed that Nasa, because of ongoing budget uncertainty in Washington, was still not in a position to give those promises.

Without them, however, Esa will not issue the full industrial contract to proceed with the construction of the orbiter, fearing it could spend hundreds of millions of euros on the satellite but never see its main objective - the rover - land on Mars.

Industry is having to operate under authorisations that permit only the minimum works necessary to keep the 2016 satellite on track, but this arrangement cannot continue for many more weeks.

'Frustratingly close'

Officials are now looking at two options to try to break the impasse.

One would see Esa and Nasa seek additional finance outside their partnership.

The obvious candidates are the Russians, who might be persuaded to provide one of the two rockets needed for the Exomars missions if their scientists are allowed to participate in the projects. The second option is to de-scope the missions to make them less expensive. In the extreme scenarios, the possibilities here might include foregoing either the satellite mission or indeed the rover.

The 2018 ExoMars rover

MSL rover
  • An almost one-tonne rover equipped with a suite of science instruments
  • Its design would emulate a rover Nasa will send to Mars this year (above)
  • The ExoMars machine will drill below the surface for signs of life
  • It will probably cache interesting rocks for return to Earth on a later mission

More likely is a de-scoping option that drops the plan for a landing demonstrator on the 2016 mission.

Europe is keen to have a go at touching down on Mars and the current baseline design for the orbiter mission calls for a 600kg entry, descent and landing module.

This module is not an integral part of 2016's science objectives but it would give Europe important expertise for the future.

"Any de-scope we may have to face would be a loss of great importance for Europe and is something we are not ready to accept," said Dr Gimenez.

"That is why we are fighting to get back to the baseline. ExoMars is a challenging, difficult but tremendously important project if we ever want to have a robotic exploration programme in our neighbourhood in the Solar System. In ExoMars, we have all the technologies we need, so to lose any components is not good."

The irony is that negotiations between European and American engineers over who should do what on the 2018 rover is going very well.

Both sides drew up lists of non-negotiable and high-priority roles, and Europe has succeeded in winning most of what it wanted. Important roles for Europe include assembling the rover on its side of the Atlantic and using a British-designed autonomous navigation system when the vehicle is on Mars.

"The frustration is that we are very close to getting what we want, but we have to resolve this budget situation and soon," said Dr David Parker, director of science, technology and exploration at the UK Space Agency.

Asked to comment on the situation, the US space agency told BBC News: "Nasa and Esa technical teams have been conducting a joint assessment of alternative Mars exploration scenarios over the past several weeks to determine how best to meet our jointly agreed programme objectives within budgetary constraints on both sides.

"This joint Nasa-Esa technical assessment is continuing. The agency will continue to discuss and assess a plan with Esa that will not only be cost-effective, but ensure key science objectives are met."

 
Jonathan Amos Article written by Jonathan Amos Jonathan Amos Science correspondent

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  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 33.

    25.BluesBerry

    No.

    it is an issue, but not a big one.

    Tomorrow an average of 66 people will be killed or injured by lightning strikes (at an average of 24k per year) but its only a 3500 to one chance (at worst) that anyone will get hit by the falling satellite.

    Expanding our horizons should be your main concern.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 32.

    @30, Fatbloke69
    Well, I am working on ExoMars now, and I'm doing it for free. I don't consider myself to be a "ham handed amateur" To expand my point, though, I think there is ample room for not-for-profit organisations in this programme. As for expensive mistakes, most of the effort is verification and validation anyway. Perfect for outsourcing and routinely bungled by prime contractors.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 31.

    @27. shd01 "The price tag for ExoMars is ridiculous" - I agree.
    But it may be the consequence of ESA giving the Prime Contractorship of the whole job to the company that came a distant third (out of 3) in the competitive tendering phase, back in 2005/6.
    ie it was a 'political' decision and not commercial or technological.

    This HAS to change !

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 30.

    @27. shd01 "Many people would work for free on this mission if they were only given the chance."

    The space industry is made up of highly trained very skilled people (who deserve to be paid as such), the last thing they need is ham handed and enthusiastic amateurs making very expensive mistakes

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 29.

    27. shd01

    "The price tag for ExoMars is ridiculous. I understand that it is a large endeavour, but still too many European aerospace companies are trying to take profits from the programme."

    Spot on, your right. Unfortunately the UK's had very poor governance and leadership in this field. There are two distinct fields for Space-Science and Military the former has often subsidised the latter.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 28.

    @27. shd01 - the problem is not just commercial. It is also ESA setting unrealistic requirements on what is an exploration mission ie we do not know the conditions (terrain, soil etc) that the Rover will have to cope with.
    NASA/JPL do not do it ESA's way. They specify top-level requirements, get something built and then find out by testing, what it is capable of and modify it where necessary.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 27.

    The price tag for ExoMars is ridiculous. I understand that it is a large endeavour, but still too many European aerospace companies are trying to take profits from the programme.
    We all need to realise that this is a higher goal and that we should strive to complete the work together within a realistic budget. Many people would work for free on this mission if they were only given the chance.

  • rate this
    -1

    Comment number 26.

    @25. BluesBerry - if you want to imitate Chicken-Little by going around shouting "The sky is falling.." that is OK by me.
    But PLEASE do not do it here, where the rest of us are trying to have a serious discussion about important scientific and exploration topics.
    I would have thought you would be too busy trying to stop wars, poverty, famine etc to get involved in our debate.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 25.

    Do you not think world should be more concerned regarding dead NASA satellite. Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) is supposed to fall out of orbit & into atmosphere this Friday – give or take a day. It is expected roughly to hit from middle of Hudson Bay to tip of Tierra del Fuego. @ 75 tons of space junk has re-entered the earth’s atmosphere in uncontrolled manner.
    Time to clean up?

  • rate this
    +1

    Comment number 24.

    "we have to work within the budgetary constraints" excellent news and probably a first if it happens. Let's hope it's true and the rest of the UK science budgets are secure, from being raided.

  • rate this
    +1

    Comment number 23.

    Just want to say that this is easily the best part of the BBC news site. Space exploration is such an important issue that is often overlooked and misunderstood by many.

    Bluesberry: Really? are you really going to bring your sixth form grade bleeding heart liberal, unreasoned logic to this discussion? This is a place of science.

  • rate this
    +5

    Comment number 22.

    If the solar system contained two earths it would be considered madness not to want to go to the other one. Mars is our second earth, it may not have life but it has everything else and what differences there are we can learn from. Such a mission would give the world hope, bring us all together and potential solve some of the shortages that could lead to the next great war.

  • rate this
    +2

    Comment number 21.

    BluesBerry

    "Why are we going to Mars when folks here on earth are living in poverty?"

    OK, so we follow your plan and we abandon all high tech science give the money to the poor. We feed the starving and house the homeless and everybody lives and has a chance to reproduce. Then what? What happens when we reach the population limit of the earth? Too late to start your space research then!

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 20.

    Jonathon - It may be small potatoes but can we hear more about Starchaser's plans to launch Nova 2 in September 2012, and perhaps anyone who would like to see a UK rocket launch should sign my e-petition for the government to give them more support, we've got one year to get enough signatures - http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/16684

  • rate this
    +2

    Comment number 19.

    The real problem here is the low priority that science in general and space in particular are being given. In the US that amount NASA gets is about 0.15% of GDP, 0.5% of Government spending. Europe is spending even less.
    The worst thing is that the decades of tight budgets and penny pinching have created an attitude of 'cannot do' that have made our engineering and space goals hugely unambitious.

  • rate this
    -1

    Comment number 18.

    Why don't the US and Europe work together ? Oh, yeah, we can't do that because then it means less taxpayer money would be spent with the businesses owned by rich people. Then the politicians wonder why we are continually in a financial crisis.

  • rate this
    +5

    Comment number 17.

    It would be a shame if these projects were cancelled. With the world economy as it is it would be nice to have something to cheer about. The Russian option has to be explored, greater cooperation between the NASA, ESA and the Russians can only be a good thing for future projects. As previously mentioned, this will benefit all of humanity.

  • rate this
    +3

    Comment number 16.

    If opportunity and information gathering is to be maximised i think the Russian option should be explored. I understand the budgetry constraints on the project but i believe a de-scope would be a compromise too far. So i think the only two options are getting the russians involved or posponing until the full remit of the project can be realised.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 15.

    There really needs to be a World Space Agency adequately funded, say with 5% of each nations defence budget. By having world involvement there then should be worldwide jobs and input to such a programme. If there is ever going to be serious exploration beyond this world, with escalating costs it is too much for one nation to achieve alone and surely such exploration is FOR ALL MANKIND!

  • rate this
    -3

    Comment number 14.

    Methane is intriguing because its presence could indicate biological activity, or something else to exploit? Esa is waiting for the Americans to provide certain assurances that they will be in a position in 2018 to provide a rocket; I wouldn't hold my breath if I was ESA.
    Space exploration does not excite me; peace on earth excites me.
    There is a time and place for everything under Heaven...

 

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