Predictions for 2012: BBC correspondents look ahead

Last year, a panel of BBC correspondents attempted to predict the big stories of 2011. What did they get wrong, and what did they get right?


What she said: Afghanistan will be a major story, as will a possible Palestinian bid for statehood. Ivory Coast's Laurent Gbagbo, Burma's Aung San Suu Kyi and Afghanistan's Jalaluddin Haqqani are the people to watch.

What happened: Afghanistan continued to grab headlines and the Palestinian Authority took its bid for statehood to the UN. Ivory Coast leader Laurent Gbagbo is now facing trial, Aung San Suu Kyi's political party has been allowed to register for forthcoming elections, and the US has continued to pressure Pakistan to clamp down on the Haqqani network.


What he said: The biggest story will be one we do not expect. Unemployment in the US will get worse, and the euro crisis will be a test for Germany. US politicians Mitch Daniels and Sarah Palin will be people to watch.

What happened: The biggest international news story of the year was the Arab Spring, which was unexpected. The euro crisis rumbles on. In the US, unemployment remains stubbornly high, and both Mitch Daniels and Sarah Palin said they were not running for nomination as the Republican presidential candidate.


What he said: The eurozone crisis will dominate. Sarah Palin, UK politician Ed Balls, Julian Assange and Bundesbank boss Axel Weber are people to watch.

What happened: The eurozone crisis dominated the news. Sarah Palin decided not to run for president, Julian Assange is appealing his extradition, Ed Balls became shadow chancellor and Axel Weber moved to UBS.


What he said: Public anger against austerity will grow, poorer eurozone countries will revolt against the discipline of the euro and at least one European government will fall, but Italy's Silvio Berlusconi will stay on as prime minister. UK politician Vince Cable and Brazilian president Dilma Rousseff are people to watch.

What happened: The Occupy Wall Street protest in New York spawned a global movement. Spain, Ireland and Italy got new governments - and Mr Berlusconi resigned. The UK's ruling coalition was severely tested by the euro crisis and Dilma Rousseff has faced a tough first year.


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