The ECB's toolbox

 
ECB president Mario Draghi Will Mario Draghi and the ECB be forced to take further measures?

It's as if the European Central Bank has ploughed through its toolbox and come out with a bunch of policies. But, are any of them significant enough to defeat the spectre of deflation?

The most eye-catching rate cut was taking the deposit rate into negative territory for the first time. It now costs commercial banks -0.1% to deposit money with the ECB.

However, since only about 29bn euros are deposited with the central bank, how much impact could even deterring all of the deposits make to increasing the money circulating in the economy? Cutting the main interest rate to 0.15% will also help, but for banks making loans cutting rates by 0.1% isn't likely to be a major factor.

Second, the ECB is also doing a small bit of quantitative easing - printing cash to buy bonds. Under the Securities Markets Programme, it had bought some Irish, Greek, Italian, Spanish and Portuguese government bonds during the height of the euro crisis to stabilise bond markets. But, it had sterilised them, meaning that the ECB withdrew the equivalent amount of cash from the economy so it wasn't QE and wouldn't offend those who think that it crosses the line into monetising government debt.

The ECB now won't sterilise so it's the equivalent of injecting 165bn euros of cash. It's a quietly radical move for the central bank amidst today's flurry of announcements. It also paves a small step towards fully fledged QE.

The biggest cash injection is again via banks. The ECB will make cheap bank loans available, including a new facility that will target loans to the real economy called Targeted LTRO. The latter will offer up to an estimated 400bn euros of cash to banks that is aimed at getting credit into the real economy. This is similar to the Bank of England's Funding for Lending scheme.

In terms of total cash that's being injected, it's not negligible but also not exactly massive. This is why ECB president Mario Draghi says that there is still more to come. Buying assets - asset-backed securities - is being discussed as is leaving the door open to QE.

The euro has already regained the ground that it lost within hours of the new measures being announced. It's a sign that markets doubt the scale of the ECB's monetary easing is enough to be effective to counteract deflation. If not, then QE may well be next.

 
Linda Yueh Article written by Linda Yueh Linda Yueh Chief business correspondent

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  • rate this
    +21

    Comment number 11.

    They are all ex Golden Sacks employees leading the central banks so they will be helping the financial sector not the ordinary citizen.

  • rate this
    +15

    Comment number 19.

    Just like the UK govt, the ECB is hammering small savers and those that saved for their retirement, a rainy day...or just because they were brought up to believe it was the right thing for sensible people to do....

  • rate this
    +13

    Comment number 31.

    Crazy tho it seems: All money is created out of thin air by the mechanism of debt. Without debt the banks can't make $ , or make it work for them - enslaving the populace by being forever in debt.
    So. The banks need people to spend, & spend what they don't have.
    By making saving pointless they've got you by the b*lls.
    Go spend!
    Its double talk.
    As required by the largest ponzi scheme ever invented

  • rate this
    +12

    Comment number 28.

    It seems we have entered a new era, where anyone with £20 but owing £18 is considered to be worth £20. Not £2 as any 8 year old will tell you.

    When will we become accountable for our debts?
    Or is the idea to put us all into debt?

  • rate this
    +12

    Comment number 9.

    The EU is going the same way as the UK and USA increasing credit, printing money and mortgaging the future which puts more money into the hands of the Euro elite and will put the ordinary citizens of the EU into slavery

 

Comments 5 of 155

 

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