Italy's borrowing costs surge after election stalemate

Italian Democratic Party leader Pier Luigi Bersani Pier Luigi Bersani's centre-left bloc won the lower house but did not secure a majority in the Senate

Related Stories

Italy's borrowing costs rose sharply at an auction on Wednesday, in the first test of its ability to borrow money long-term at affordable rates after the country's inconclusive election result.

Italy sold the new 10-year government bonds at a yield of 4.83%, up from 4.17% at its last sale in January.

The yield provides an indication of the yearly interest rate Rome would have to pay to borrow new money.

But it did sell all 6.5bn euros' worth (£5.6bn) of 10- and five-year bonds.

The new five-year bond was sold at a yield of 3.59%, up from 2.94% in January.

The higher borrowing costs at the auction had been expected, as yields had risen on Tuesday after the parliamentary election revealed no clear winner in both houses.

Pier Luigi Bersani's centre-left bloc won the lower house by a tiny margin, but did not secure a majority in the Senate.

A split parliament is likely to make it harder for one group to push through their plans to revive the economy, and that may stall Italy's process of cutting its public debt levels, which stood at 127% of GDP in 2012.

'Strong demand'

Borrowing costs are still well below the levels seen in November 2011, when the yield on the 10-year bond reached 7%.

Analysis

Italy's 10-year borrowing cost is still below 5% - a level that is seen as bearable. The rise though is a sign that investors would really like to see a strong government committed to economic reforms - covering the labour market and business regulation - to make it easier to set up and run a business.

It is certainly possible that borrowing costs will rise further if the uncertainty drags on for a long period, and that would put new pressure on the government's financial situation.

Italy's problem is feeble economic growth. The annual average rate this century is less than 0.5%. That makes it hard to generate the tax revenues needed to make a dent in the government's very large debt burden.

The problem with economic reforms intended to stimulate growth is that some people lose out from them, and that makes them politically difficult. That is all the more apparent with an election that failed to produce a clear overall winner.

Demand for both bonds was higher than at the previous auction, and the markets appeared to take heart from this, with European share indexes rising after the result.

The 10-year bond attracted bids worth 1.65 times the amount on offer, up from a so-called bid-to-cover ratio of 1.32 in January.

The bid-to-cover ratio on the five-year bond was 1.61, compared with 1.3 at the previous sale.

Michael Leister, senior strategist at Commerzbank in London, said it was a "very strong auction on all accounts", on both the demand side and the pricing side.

"The Tesoro [Treasury] filled the maximum amount, with 4bn euros allocated in the new 10-year, which is very strong," he said.

"On top of that, we have bonds being priced significantly above secondary levels - the 10-year is more than 60 cents above the secondary levels. So clearly we have had this spike in yields, but that was sufficient to trigger good buying interest for Italian paper here."

On the secondary market, government bonds already in circulation are traded by banks and other financial institutions.

But Annalisa Piazza, market economist at Newedge, warned that demand was "probably led by domestic accounts who took advantage of higher yields".

"We rule out [that] foreign accounts have played a major role at today's auction, as political risks remain high."

More on This Story

Related Stories

More Business stories

RSS

Features & Analysis

Elsewhere on the BBC

  • Five very different people talk to Michelle Fleury (top centre)) about their working lives in Quito, EcaudorWorking Lives Ecuador

    The BBC's Michelle Fleury meets five very different people who live and work in Quito

Programmes

  • XBox OneClick Watch

    How far has Microsoft moved from a purist's game console with the XBox One?

BBC © 2013 The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites. Read more.

This page is best viewed in an up-to-date web browser with style sheets (CSS) enabled. While you will be able to view the content of this page in your current browser, you will not be able to get the full visual experience. Please consider upgrading your browser software or enabling style sheets (CSS) if you are able to do so.