Stephanomics on Stephanomics


Stephanomics: The future of the euro

If you like this blog, I've got a radio programme I'd like to sell you.

It's an economics discussion show about the global economy, and it's called, er, Stephanomics.

The idea is to step back from the day-to-day turmoil in the global markets, and get three top economic thinkers around a table to talk about where we might be heading - and what it means for all of us.

This week I have Will Hutton, chair of the new think tank, the Big Innovation Centre; Nicola Horlick, of Bramdean Asset Management; and David Roche, of the investment research company, Independent Strategy, who's usually based in Hong Kong.

We've been talking about all the big questions: in 10 years' time, will the big Western economies be enjoying decent growth in output and jobs, or looking back on a lost decade?

Will China still be going from strength to strength? Or will its economy hit a brick wall - and the Communist Party be confronting a "Chinese Spring"? And by then, will the eurozone even exist?

You might be surprised to hear it wasn't all doom and gloom. Or not for the UK, anyway.

But no-one thought the prospects for the eurozone were anything but messy.

One lesson I drew from the conversation - you get more optimistic about an economy, the further you live from it.

There will be three shows - the first is on Radio 4 at 1500 on Wednesday, but you'll also be able to see or hear it on the Radio 4 website, the BBC News Channel, World Service and BBC World. You can also download the radio programme as a podcast.

Next week we'll have George Soros. You can't escape.

Stephanie Flanders, Economics editor Article written by Stephanie Flanders Stephanie Flanders Former economics editor

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  • rate this

    Comment number 1.

    "three top economic thinkers"

    These the same people - the economics establishment - who created the problem in the first place!

    Would it not be better to take a more outsider view that starts from the idea that economics education is so flawed that it created the crash!

    I warned years before King & HM Treasury what was to happen becasue of their policies & they ignored me & it happened!

  • rate this

    Comment number 2.

    We're heading for Eire II - austerity=deep recession, credit downgrading & Sterling crisis: in 10 years we'll be up the proverbial creak sans paddle. Think the £20 litre of petrol - the £10 loaf @ today's prices - widespread poverty, unemployment and only those who are self-sufficient or the v. rich will be OK - welfare state in pieces. Globalisation destroyed the UK economy - run for the hills!

  • rate this

    Comment number 3.

    "you get more optimistic about an economy, the further you live from it"

    How can you live outside the economy?

    A monk or nun in an enclosed order, a member of the hyper wealthy or a vagrant seem to be the only people who can live outside an economy!

    What do you mean?

    Seems to be what we have here is the culprits interviewing the culprits.

  • rate this

    Comment number 4.

    2. rb "run for the hills"

    I'm an optimist.

    We need to do the basics.

    To make sure we have properly priced money or the whole of capitalism collapses and cannot restart.

    To understand that the PURPOSE of capitalism is the efficient use of resources (i.e. labour in our case)

    DEFLATE the debt mountain public & private & get to dramatically lower property prices.

    Split ALL banks into Good & Bad

  • rate this

    Comment number 5.

    Escape!... I wouldn't dream of it.

    Any chance that Robert might be given an extended slot? He's one of the few economic commentators (apart from yourself, of course), whose views I value.

    Better still, record a fourth program where you both discuss the opinions of previous guests.


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