Can John Kerry manage a Middle East miracle?

 
US Secretary of State John Kerry speaks at a meeting in Saudi Arabia on January 5, 2014. Has US Secretary of State been 'tamed' by Arab-Israeli peace negotiations?

John Kerry is heading back to the Middle East next week to continue attempts to broker a peace deal between Palestinians and Israelis. His self-imposed goal is to reach an agreement by April. If opinions in Israeli and Arab media are any indication, however, not many think he can find success where others have failed.

"The mission John Kerry has taken upon himself reminds one of a boy going out into the garden with a kite. The intention is good, the equipment suitable, but the wind refuses to lift the kite into the air," writes Nahum Barnea in Israel's Yedioth Ahronoth.

He continues:

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Kerry is using these meetings as an opportunity for great photo-ops of himself together with the Israeli and Palestinian representatives”

End Quote Lior Akerman The Jerusalem Post

Kerry wanted to reach a framework agreement that would put [Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu and [Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas] on a path from which they cannot deviate. Meanwhile, this is not happening. The ambition is still there, but the objective is gradually shrinking. Assuming that Netanyahu is telling his ministers the truth, he will not have to sign the paper Kerry is devising. All Kerry is demanding at the moment from the two is that they commit not to publicly express any reservations about what the paper will say... Kerry came to tame and came away tamed.

Shalom Yerushalmi in Ma'ariv cites a recent Israeli opinion poll that shows 80% of the public does not think Mr Kerry will be successful. "It seems that the public is tired, disappointed and doubtful after seeing scores of American envoys and mediators passing through and coming out with nothing," he writes.

Even if Mr Kerry brokers an agreement, it will only be a "framework" for future negotiations - which will likely lead nowhere, writes Lior Akerman in the Jerusalem Post. "Kerry is using these meetings as an opportunity for great photo-ops of himself together with the Israeli and Palestinian representatives. The only significant result has been a rise in the number of terrorist attacks and violent incidents, to which IDF [Israeli Defence Force] then responds and which unfortunately usually results in additional deaths."

There are those who are more optimistic, though. "Kerry is not the problem, although he is not the solution either," writes Yoel Marcus in Ha'aretz. "He is no healer and will not heal. He's merely the catalyst for an opportunity to generate a regional agreement."

Meanwhile, in the Arab press, commentary is very clear on what needs to be a part of future negotiations. The Saudi paper Al-Watan editorialises:

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Rejectionists on both sides who quietly presumed that the process would collapse under its own weight now express alarm”

End Quote The Economist

The two-state solution which John Kerry has taken as the basis for a settlement between the two sides primarily depends on both sides accepting to divide Jerusalem into two parts: West Jerusalem will be Israel's capital, while the Palestinians have East Jerusalem as the capital of their own state. Should this condition not be fulfilled, the two-state solution will naturally collapse.

"The US secretary of state must realise that any kind of deal will not be viable or sustainable if it does not guarantee the non-negotiable rights of the Palestinian people: the right of return and to self-determination, as well as to the establishment of an independent state with holy Jerusalem as its capital," writes Nawaf Aboul-Hija in Oman's Al-Watan.

Outside of the region, the Economist is more optimistic that Mr Kerry is making some headway. "Rejectionists on both sides who quietly presumed that the process would collapse under its own weight now express alarm," it writes.

Mr Kerry has called the ongoing negotiations "not mission impossible" - which is hardly cause for celebration. Given the track record of his predecessors, however, "not impossible" may be enough for a glimmer of hope.

(From reports provided by BBC Monitoring)

 

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  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 31.

    30. Agree, however, there is no will in the US to pull funding for Israel, who have thumbed their nose for the last decade and expanded settlements as confident that Aipac will keep up the pressure on Congress. And agree, if Obama can normalize relations with Iran Hamas could be taken out of the equation? The only way forward is a unified Fatah and UN recognition leverage.

  • rate this
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    Comment number 30.

    #28 Chris A

    Some don´t seem to realize the hopeless situation we are in -- the West is a bystander that does not need rogue ´allies´ making it worse.

    The ´war on terror´ has been lost -probably millions of more extremists is the result. Iran and the Shia have not targeted the West.

    They appear the ´only game in town´ as an important possible ally.

    Israel must not be allowed to sabotage.

  • rate this
    +1

    Comment number 29.

    Under the banner of 'never again' we watch it all over again. Even the parallel fear of peaceful resolution with Iran stinks of it.

    Someday I'd like to hear an account of the end-game objectives from our world's war mongering whores, instead of their cover of talking points.

    With burgeoning populations and ever lessening commodities per capita... there has to be a better way.

  • Comment number 28.

    This comment was removed because the moderators found it broke the house rules. Explain.

  • rate this
    0

    Comment number 27.

    #25 Jerry

    "Both sides in this ME mess are military." ???

    - It is interesting that you can reduce the mess in the ME to only two sides.

    -- Can you explain ?

 

Comments 5 of 31

 

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