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However
from the middle of the month the weather quickly deteriorated, with
low pressure dominating our weather - which invariably leads to
rain or showers. In fact the area of low pressure which came across
the UK during the second half of the month was very unusual indeed.
In
fact it was the deepest late June system for 60 years and led to
localised flooding and uprooting of trees in the southwest if the
country.
Unfortunately
July has continued to be very unsettled with temperatures below
average and above average rainfall. We are reaching critical point
with regards the outlook for the summer, with my long range forecast
for a good summer beginning to look a bit shaky.
The
trouble is, the atmosphere is blocked, as I thought it would be
earlier this year. However the problem is that we are currently
blocked with low pressure as opposed to high pressure which obviously
makes a huge difference to the type of weather.
The
3rd or 4th week of July can sometimes be critical when it comes
to judging what the rest of the summer may be like. By that time
the atmosphere often maintains the weather pattern has already become
established. So if high pressure has re-asserted itself, then that
bodes well for August.
But
if low pressure is still dominating, it can be quite a bearish sign
for the rest of the summer. We shall see. But one thing never changes.
Long range forecasts are incredibly difficult to get right, and
often need to be taken with an incredibly large pinch of salt.
You
can e-mail Look North's popular weatherman Paul Hudson with pictures,
weather stories and suggested linked locations for his regional
weather map.
Contact:
paultheweatherman@bbc.co.uk
Although Paul cannot respond to every message he will pick the most
interesting and use them on TV and Radio.
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