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Seconds out - round two

Tour de France
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Alberto Contador and Lance Armstrong

BBC Radio 5 Live’s Simon Brotherton is commentating live on the BBC Sport website for the last 90 minutes of each stage of the Tour de France.

Tour de France live commentary times

Here, he reflects on what is increasingly looking like a two-man contest.


The gloves aren't off yet, but they're being unlaced as we wait for the real fight for the yellow jersey in this year's Tour de France. The interesting thing is that two of the big punchers come from the same stable, in Alberto Contador and Lance Armstrong.

Bear with me while I stay with the boxing analogy for just a little longer because it seems relevant here, although they haven't climbed off their bikes and actually come to blows yet!

The pair of them are still circling, watching each other like hawks and waiting for the chance to deliver a potentially knockout blow, and never seem more than a bike length apart on the road, even while out training on the rest day.

Armstrong connected with a jab when he was in the front group when the race split on the road to La Grand Motte and ordered his two team-mates present to help at the front. It turned into a 41-second gain. Contador then countered on the road to Arcalis with a late attack, but only gained 21 seconds, hardly enough to leave Armstrong or anyone else on the ropes. Early skirmishing, nothing more.

The dynamic is interesting. Alberto Contador is young and ambitious, winning each of the past three grand Tours he's entered, including the 2007 Tour de France. While Lance Armstrong, as everyone should know by now, has won a record seven Tour de France titles and is returning to the event four years after last competing in it. He's 37 years old, and would become the oldest-ever winner should he manage to overcome the odds and his team-mate.

They are separated by only two seconds in the overall standings at the moment, in second and third places, so nothing has been decided and the American is probably right when he says we've seen only 25 per cent of the fight.

Contador has his hands full here in many ways, with Armstrong the classic alpha male taking control of many situations. He's clearly the man people have come to see and the cameras are on the American all the time. When Astana won the team time trial, the presentation was made to Armstrong even though he was standing at the back of the group.

When the riders flew up to Limoges for the rest day on Sunday night, who was in the front row? You've guessed it, and sitting right next to the directeur sportif Johan Bruyneel too, the man with whom he shared all seven previous Tour wins. Alberto Contador was back in row 18 next to an official from the Tour and Andreas Kloden by all accounts.

All irrelevant you may say, and of course that might be so, but when it comes to psychology, politics and road smarts, Lance Armstrong is formidable. He chips away at an opponent’s psyche like cycling's version of Sir Alex Ferguson.

Armstrong has openly admitted that there's a degree of tension at the Astana dinner table, with both men openly wanting to win this year’s race and, looking from the outside, it could get messy. Picking a winner is hard at this point, but on the evidence we've seen so far, Alberto Contador is the man to beat.

We still don't know if Lance Armstrong can go with a sudden attack in the high mountains and show us once again that incredible ability to ride seemingly untroubled at a high cadence. He shouldn't be counted out though.

There is also the question of who attacks first and how the other one reacts to it. Add in the prospect of challenges on any given day from the likes of Andy Schleck and Carlos Sastre to name but two, and we have a potentially unmissable second half to this year's Tour de France.

How do you think the contest between Armstrong and Contador will pan out?

And what about Britain’s Bradley Wiggins – comfortably fifth in the general classification – can he maintain his performance and perhaps even aim for a podium place in Paris?

If you’ve got a question or comment about this year’s Tour that you’d like answered on air, please post them below and I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible.

Latest 10 comments

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posted Jul 15, 2009

comment by amon64lfc (U7556176)
posted Just Now

Rasmussen was on drugs though. Glad to see it's been clean so far this year.
___________

Actually, Rasmussen didn't test positive. He was banned for repeatedly breaching his duty to report his whereabouts. While several breaches equate to a suspension, it's not exactly a positive drugs test.

In any case, Contador can have off-days just like any other rider, just as he did in the Paris-Nice this year.

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posted Jul 15, 2009

Not only did Rasmussen not test positive, I believe he was also awarded damages against his team for sacking him.

I think in terms of this year we can be thankful there's no positive tests but let's remember bjarne riis also didn't test positive after winning the tour but fessed up years later.

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comment by Doc_Kev (U942826)

posted Jul 16, 2009

Some of you guys have read far too much into the climb up Arcalis.

“I wouldn’t say that I could have easily followed because it was an impressive attack,” Armstrong told the France-2 television station. “I probably could have gone but I didn’t see it coming and it wouldn’t be correct for me to go across. So, I waited for the others guys.”

LA didn't see it coming because Contador did not stick to the teams race plan. He could have gone with him, but chose not to because he's the ultimate professional. He won't get caught out tactically in the alps.

The Lance of four years ago would have wiped the floor with Contador. Based on the racing thus far I don't think we know how the Lance of today compares. Can't wait for the alps.

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comment by gelywa (U14071769)

posted Jul 16, 2009

I agree with Axeman2000's criticism of this year's tour route. Few mountain top finishes means lack of excititement and genuine battles between the GC contenders. I was so disappointed with the Col du Tourmalet stage in particular. Also the decision to run a TTT so early means that for a lot of the guys, the tour was over very early, and playing catch up to Astana is going to be difficult, if not impossible. So whilst Cadel, Schleck, Sastre etc. will undoubtedly give it their all, the ill-advised decision to hold the TTT early dealt them a huge psychological blow.

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posted Jul 16, 2009

There are certain unwritten rules - and although you are correct in that most of cycling is cut throat and weakness is relentlessly preyed on some things are just not done: In the case of the pile up - it is a courtesy of the peloton to "slow up" I suppose the reason for this is at one point or other most cyclist fall off and one day it may be you - so the old adage of : do unto others as you would have done to you applies here.. There are some instances of individual riders waiting - Ulrich and Armstrong.. Lance caught his bars on a spectators cap and he fell - Ulrich waited for Armstrong (although some say he didn't - watch the footage and you decide) - Its hard to explain really but by not obeying these rules you loose friends quickly in the peloton and by attacking during the food station or when someone falls you isolate yourself and i can tell you the last thing you want to be is on your own in a race. Honour amongst thieves ...

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posted Jul 17, 2009

37 years of age and come out of retirement.!!!! my name i really fatang fatang biscuit barrel.

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posted Jul 17, 2009

posted Just Now
37 years of age and has come out of retirement.!!!! My name really is "fatang fatang biscuit barrel." winkeye

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posted Jul 17, 2009

There are certain unwritten rules - and although you are correct in that most of cycling is cut throat and weakness is relentlessly preyed on some things are just not done: In the case of the pile up - it is a courtesy of the peloton to "slow up" I suppose the reason for this is at one point or other most cyclist fall off and one day it may be you - so the old adage of : do unto others as you would have done to you applies here.. There are some instances of individual riders waiting - Ullrich and Armstrong.. Lance caught his bars on a spectators cap and he fell - Ulrich waited for Armstrong (although some say he didn't - watch the footage and you decide)
____________

You can hardly expect there not to be fueds when 160 or 180 guys with opposing interests race each other every day for three weeks - I have more than once seen guys dropping their bikes and getting into a bare-fsted punch-up, but that's definitely not the norm.

In general there is actually huge respect between cyclists and great sportsmanship.

One of the most memorable moments I remember took place in the 1995 Vuelta.

On the prized stage to Sierra Nevada, the highest climb in that Vuelta, Telekom rider Bert Dietz staged a breakaway for almost the entire stage (c.150km?).

He was caught by race leader (and eventual winner) Laurent Jalabert just 200m from the line and, despite Jalabert being by far the stronger rider at that point - as well as a famed sprinter - the Frenchman just stuck to Dietz's wheel and gifted him the victory.

Jalabert later said the he and Dietz barely knew each other, but that the German had done far more to deserve the victory that day.

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posted Jul 18, 2009

I appreciate the thinking behind the article, but with riders like Cadel Evans, Vandevelde, and the Schlecks in the mix, not to mention Wiggins with at least a spoiler's chance, if nothing else, I can't see everything working out quite as straightforwardly as this. At least, I sure hope not, I'm partial to a surprise or two! smiley

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posted Jul 18, 2009

After 2 weeks of racing, it's still seconds out...but I do think tomorrow's stage will have a lot to say about the eventual destination of the MJ.

I expect Andy to have a go, and will Cadel Evans be far behind? Some of the pre-race favourites have over a minute to make up, so they'd best start trying to eat into that deficit, or it will be too late.

The final week is going to be fantastic, with more than one twist, I'm sure.

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