Browse: AmericanFootball NFL picks - divisional play-offsby Martin Gough - BBC Sport (U2505894) 08 January 2009 ![]() Each week during the NFL regular season I’ve been predicting the results of games televised in the UK but we step up a gear this weekend as the best teams in the league join the play-offs in round two. In Darren Sproles, the Chargers have the ideal man to deal with defensive aggression This season, the team that lost at Wembley, the San Diego Chargers, have already gone on a wild ride and I think that may continue for another week as they face the Pittsburgh Steelers at 2145 GMT on Sunday.No team without a winning record in the regular season has ever reached the Super Bowl (the 1979 LA Rams were the worst with a 9-7 mark) and many argued San Diego should not have progressed with their 8-8 record – despite winning the AFC West division – while the New England Patriots kick their heels at home after winning 11 games from the AFC East. San Diego made the most of the seeding system, though, and then upset Indianapolis in a wild overtime game last Saturday. A defence that appeared woeful at Wembley bewitched and battered Colts quarterback Peyton Manning, the NFL’s Most Valuable Player. By comparison to Manning, Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger is a novice and he has been desperately inconsistent this year, with 15 interceptions to go with his 17 touchdowns. Pittsburgh have a fearsome defence, which has allowed just 13.9 points per game and evoked comparison to the Steel Curtain units of the 1970s. In Darren Sproles, who stepped in for the injured LaDainian Tomlinson and gained a massive 328 all-purpose yards against the Colts, the Chargers have the ideal man to deal with defensive aggression, as he runs nippily and can catch short passes from Phillip Rivers neatly, while San Diego’s three physical receivers clear space for him. I’m backing San Diego to win, possibly by 14 or more. December held wildly contrasting fortunes for the Eagles and the team they visit at 1800 GMT on Sunday, the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants. Philadelphia were written out of the playoffs after week 12, when quarterback Donovan McNabb was benched in a 36-7 loss to Baltimore. McNabb has since returned to form and the Eagles won four of their last five Runner Brandon Jacobs is back to fitness for New York but the Eagles held the Giants to 88 rushing yards in their last game Meanwhile the Giants, who started the season with 11 wins against a single loss, dropped three of their last four after losing receiver Plaxico Burress to a season-ending ban for illegal gun possession.This is the third time this season these two teams have met and, although the Giants won the opener, I believe the week 13 fixture, won by the Eagles with Brian Westbrook rushing for 131 yards and catching for 72 more, has more significance. Runner Brandon Jacobs is back to fitness for New York but the Eagles held the Giants to 88 rushing yards in that last game and restricted league-leader Adrian Peterson to 83 yards in their win over Minnesota last weekend. Eagles to upset the Super Bowl champs. Saturday sees two games with slightly less glamour but plenty of grit. First up, at 2130 GMT, is the visit of the Baltimore Ravens to the Tennessee Titans, a re-enactment of a play-off game in 2000, when the Ravens upset top-seeded Tennessee on the way to a Super Bowl triumph. The two also met in week five this year, the Titans squeaking home 13-10 with a late touchdown, and the closeness of that score shows just how tight this one will be. Titans veteran Kerry Collins’ short approach may avoid the ball-hawks in the Ravens defensive backfield Their approaches are similar, with tough defence (Tennessee have the second-best defence in the league in terms of points conceded with 14.6 per game while Pittsburgh are third with 15.3) and two-pronged running games, featuring a slasher and a basher.The Titans averaged 137.4 yards per game through the fluid moves of Chris Johnson and the bullocking runs of LenDale White. Baltimore rely on Le’Ron McClain and Willis McGahee. The difference may be in the passing game, where veteran Kerry Collins’ short approach may avoid the ball-hawks in the Ravens defensive backfield, while young gun-slinger Joe Flacco may struggle under pressure from the Titans front seven. Tennessee in another close one. Ten years ago, Kurt Warner beat Jake Delhomme in the battle for the starting quarterback’s spot with NFL Europe’s Amsterdam Admirals. They go head-to-head again at 0115 GMT on Sunday as Arizona visit Carolina. Delhomme leads a side ranked second-best in the National Football Conference, which many feel is better than the team that reached the Super Bowl five years ago. Warner can be vulnerable under pressure, when he becomes prone to mistakes He leads an old-school offence, which relies on the running of DeAngelo Williams and rookie Jonathan Stewart, as well as the deep threat of receivers Steve Smith and Muhsin Muhammad. Some have written Arizona off as one of the worst play-off teams ever but they confounded that with a wildcard-round victory over Atlanta last weekend, when their defence held the league’s second-best runner, Michael Turner, to 42 yards. Warner, who won the Super Bowl with St Louis eight years ago, had been written off after several mediocre seasons. This year he was the second most successful passer in the league, with the help of physical receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. Warner can still be vulnerable under pressure, though, when he becomes prone to mistakes. An interception ended his hopes of victory the last time the Cardinals were in Charlotte in October. Perhaps Carolina’s defence isn’t as good as the 2004 version but it is good enough to stop Warner and Co and secure a Panthers victory by around 10. Latest 10 commentsRead members' comments or add your own
comment by
gycax88 (U8355857) posted Jan 9, 2009 I don't see SD's line holding up against Harrison and Woodley. Sproles may well get hammered by the 5 linebackers the Steelers have (Polamalu hits like a linebacker, he totally counts). Not discounting his X factor, but I think the Steelers take it.
comment by
mm1971 (U13775278) posted Jan 9, 2009 Martin Gough, ( bbc sport ) is your sport american football ?? Could've fooled me !! I'm sorry to say, but like most peoples comments, they tend to disagree with your predictions. And so do I !! I am with Southy on this one. Steelers to meet the Giants in the Superbowl. Ravens will beat the Titans ( Titans must be the worst 13-3 team in NFL history ) Steelers to edge the Ravens in a low scorer !! If the Titans do meet the Steelers, Those 2 Titan players who everyone saw on Sky jumping on the ' terrible towel ' will have that rammed down their throats ( sorry, you don't do that sort of thing on national tv ... ) Cardinals cannot win an argument on the road let alone a play off game in Carolina, Giants will beat the Eagles, and should beat the Panthers ( again ) in New York. Overall, the Giants to edge the Steelers. Well, that's what I have bet on !!!
comment by
Laheed (U1955727) posted Jan 9, 2009 How does this guy have the BBC's American Football blog? He knows nothing!
comment by
chris_carr20 (U11707430) posted Jan 9, 2009 NO WAY DO SAN DIEGO WIN BY 14 or more lol, Steelers win by the biggest margin or 5-6. If Chargers win itl b by 3 ish.
comment by
boknows34 (U5334712) posted Jan 10, 2009 Backing San Diego to win by 14???
comment by
ManUandWasps (U12630322) posted Jan 10, 2009 "As for the ridiculous Roethlisberger comment, if Big Ben is a novice then so must Rivers".
comment by
boknows34 (U5334712) posted Jan 10, 2009 ManUand Wasps
comment by
So_Cal_Dandie (U3455735) posted Jan 11, 2009 Oh my god some people really do think they know everything.
comment by
boknows34 (U5334712) posted Jan 11, 2009 Dandie.
comment by
Martin Gough - BBC Sport (U2505894) posted Jan 12, 2009 I think you're all missing the point because you didn't read the start of the sentence. I said, "Compared to [Peyton] Manning, Roethlisberger is a novice." Manning is an 11-year veteran with three league MVPs. Compared to him, only Brett Favre doesn't count as a novice. What I was saying was, if the Chargers D could rattle Manning they could rattle anyone. Comment on this article |