posted Jul 4, 2008

5/2 Valverde? You can get 7/1 on betfair.

I've just had a little cheeky couple of quid on Pozzato.

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posted Jul 4, 2008

A repeat of stage 1 in the Dauphine then. I think Hushovd might just get the better of Valverde this time, however.

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posted Jul 4, 2008

hUNTER AT 75/1 LOOKS TOO GOOD TO RESIST.

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posted Jul 5, 2008

ok - last 1.7km @ 6.2%. looking to the spring classics, the 3 winners of hill-top finish classics were valverde, kirchen and cunego. the odds i see for these guys are 7, 13, and 30's resp.

AV might not have the motivation to win - the prestige of a stage win aside, his thoughts lie further down the road, but i guess it will be hard for any pro to soft pedal if they are in contention.

so that leaves kirchen - a good bet, but obviously the value has to be cunego, although maybe he will have the same view as AV.

another hill finisher of note is ricco - 18s - but i'm uncertain of his form.

that said, thor is no slouch up such an incline, and i have to imagine that will be arriving to at todays grand depart in peak condition, and is super value at 40s+.

so there you have it 5 names. if you back all 5 names weighted for the same payout you can get better than 3x return. ex-AV it is better than 5x, and for just DC, RR and TH it is 9x.

so, cue breakaway winner.....

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posted Jul 5, 2008

If it comes to a sprint Kirchen would be my pick, although Freire is always dangerous.

Actually, seeing as the course looks good for attackers: anyone know what odds you can get on Gilbert?

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posted Jul 5, 2008

22s right now, although last print was higher. good call though.

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posted Jul 5, 2008

Ooh, second place. On the one hand I feel quite pleased, on the other I'm gutted...

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posted Jul 5, 2008

Nice picking omgidbi.

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