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Time is right for Murray to strike

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Ouch, tricky first round draw for Andy Murray out here in Melbourne but after that it’s wide open, the numbers really couldn’t have fallen any more sweetly for him.

Jo Wilfried-Tsonga is fired up for a major breakthrough in 2008 and when they meet in the opening round of the year’s first major, Tsonga will smell blood.

Remember he was pretty sure of himself when he ended Tim Henman’s career at the US Open and didn’t think twice about dumping Lleyton Hewitt out of his home tournament in Adelaide last week.

Tsonga is 38 in the world - one of the highest ranked players any of the seeds could have drawn - and I see him striking the top 25 this year. He’s finally getting it together after stalling for a couple of years immediately after his big breakthrough.

But Murray knows how to beat him, as he did in the Metz quarter-finals last year, and should have too much guile for the impatient Frenchman. He’ll use all his tricks, his pace changes and his angles. Tsonga might get a set but the whole package should be too much for him over the best of five.

Then, if he can clear that first fence, Murray has a remarkable draw:

Brzezicki or a qualifier in round two, Chela possibly in round three (who he beat comfortably here last year and subsequently in Madrid), Gasquet the likely last 16 opponent and - this is where Murray really gets lucky - Nicolay Davydenko in the quarters, when he could have drawn Federer, Nadal or Djokovic.

Now, all the above is purely hypothetical but if Murray wants to win a Slam - and he does have a chance of doing that this year -starting in Melbourne, then he needs to beat seven people so we might as well find out who those seven might be.

In reality, this is a glorious chance to record his best Grand Slam performance (as it would have been at Wimbledon had he been fit to play) and the time is right for Murray to strike.

He can gatecrash the second week of a major for the first time and become the real story here, perhaps even on finals weekend.

Why?

He's hitting the ball beautifully in practice, he's top of the form guide having won in Qatar, there’s the undoubted physical improvement and the not inconsiderable factor of the personnel changes to his support team.

Suddenly, out has gone Brad Gilbert with his chit chat and penchant for Japanese food at Kokos, the tennis community's Melbourne restaurant-du-jour.

In has come Miles Maclagan, the knowledgeable but softly-spoken touring coach, Andy Ireland the laugh-a-minute physio and Matt Little, the LTA’s Head of Strength and Conditioning who, in collaboration with Jez Green from the Monte Carlo Tennis Academy, has structured an intense physical programme which has paid instant dividends.

The most important thing here; it’s a team. They work as a team, they play as a team. They have a kick about on the court at the end of practice and the backroom guys keep themselves amused by betting how many points Murray will win in a particular session. There's good spirit, there's positivity. Just how Murray likes it.

For all Gilbert’s undoubted expertise, there was often friction between player and coach. This new set-up is good for Murray. It will reduce the mood swings and remove some of the on-court volatility, which has to be a step forward. He suddenly feels among friends.

Davis Cup captain John Lloyd is also here and the news which is really pleasing him, apart from a couple of new signings for his beloved Wolves, is the form of Jamie Baker, Britain’s number three.

Baker is almost certainly going to get the nod over Alex Bogdanovic for the second singles berth in Britain’s Davis Cup squad, especially as he's made the third round of qualifying here in the Melbourne heat.

His second-round win over Alexander Peya featured rallies which seemed to go on for ever. Good preparation, therefore, for the Buenos Aires clay. First, the hard-working Scotsman will hope to qualify for a debut Grand Slam main draw away from Wimbledon. He deserves it.

The other thing to look forward to this fortnight is the return to the Grand Slam arena of Lindsay Davenport. I remember speaking to Lindsay here three years ago. She felt retirement was getting close but, a few months later, came to within a point of winning Wimbledon, putting those thoughts on hold.

She played through until the autumn of 2006 when she announced she was expecting her first child with husband Jon Leach. Jagger Jonathan was born in June last year.

Remarkably, since returning to the tour in August 2007, she’s won three of the four tournaments in which she’s played singles. In Bali, Quebec and, at the start of this new season, in Auckland.

Davenport has come out of retirement in sensational form, showing she’s more than capable of returning to the top 10. It’s a similar tale to that of Martina Hingis except, unlike the other former world number one, Davenport’s career is unlikely to end in drugs shame, more as proud Mum showing the kids the way to go.

There will be full commentary on every night session match from 0830 on Radio 5 Live Sports Extra.

Latest 10 comments

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posted Jan 14, 2008

There is something quintessentially British about enjoying seeing someone with a massively overinflated ego humbled on one of the biggest stages in the world.

I really feel no sympathy for Murray.

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posted Jan 14, 2008

biggrinbiggrinbiggrin who is this Jonathan guy and just how much does he know about tennis?

mURRAY HAS SACKED the best tennis coach in de world, so will see how his british bunch performbiggrin

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comment by shivfan (U2435266)

posted Jan 14, 2008

Why these comparisons with Henman?
erm
Henman has achieved more in his career than Murray ever will....

Sure, Murray may win more TIer 1 events than Henman ever did. But when it comes to Grand Slams, when it really counts, Henman reached six semi-finals.

Murray will never be able to do that....

It's good to see Tsonga win. He played exciting serve and volley tennis. It's a lost art!
smiley

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posted Jan 14, 2008

"Sure, Murray may win more TIer 1 events than Henman ever did. But when it comes to Grand Slams, when it really counts, Henman reached six semi-finals.

Murray will never be able to do that....
"

My crystal ball is malfunctioning at the moment. Glad yours is in good working order winkeye

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posted Jan 14, 2008

You need to win 8 matches to win the AO. May be Murray can one match per year and call it a career slam. Murray can claim AO in 2017
laughlaughlaugh

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posted Jan 14, 2008

KOB
seems like a job for Brad

laugh

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posted Jan 14, 2008

Sorry if I'm the only one in Britain that is chuffed to bits that this spotty petulant anglophope is out of the Oz open, but thats how it is

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posted Jan 14, 2008

alskymarsh: that's OK but take into account that getting your kicks from others' misfortunes just shows how sad you really are. But I'm sure you have your positive side.

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posted Jan 15, 2008

Hi Terry Thanks for your comment regarding Mr Murray, I am very upbeat about Sport in General, and will usually fly the flag for any British sportman/woman, however it was Murray's comments regarding his feelings towards the England Football qualification saga that incensed me, right wrong or indifferent, he went out of his way to state on national tv his feelings which were less than complementary toward anything english, As a doncaster lad I spend time and will gladly follow clubs like for example Celtic or Rangers in Europe, on those grounds I wrote my comments re Murray and perhaps in someway justify my comments about him

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posted Jan 15, 2008

alskymarsh

Here, here. Sport and support for sportsmen is rightly or wrongly not only based on their ability, technique and guts at their chosen profession. I admire Murray's court craft, his change of pace, his down the line backhand, his ability to beat players with a bigger game; however, if he was to come round my house with his Trinidad and Tobago wristbands and his Jacobite hairdo playing too many dropshots, I should say "Oi, Murray -no! We know you've got your uneducated opinions but take your germany football shirt off and start making changes."

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