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No certainties on Le Tour

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It’s a good thing I’m not much of a betting man. Quite often during stages I like to peruse the latest odds and get an idea of what the general public feels about riders. On Saturday morning, before the start of the time-trial around Albi, the odds were stacked against Michael Rasmussen keeping the yellow jersey. I reckoned that sounded pretty reasonable… but like I said I’m not much of a betting man. Long gone are the days of certainties on the Tour de France (otherwise known as the Armstrong years). With exactly seven days to go this Tour is still wide open and it would take a brave soul to stake a fortune on any one rider.

When I spoke to Rasmussen after the stage to Briancon on Tuesday he told me he’d been working hard on his time-trialling. The other journalists muscling in on the interview were barely concealing smirks as the Dane uttered this in a deadpan voice with no hint of irony (his time-trial performance in the 2005 Tour still ranks as one of the great comedy moments of the Tour). Back then he was in polka dots and gunning for a place on the podium. This year he was in yellow and he’d endured a pretty torrid couple of days under the media spotlight. Pressure? What pressure?

Well the Chicken managed to stay upright throughout the 54 km test, and he was actuallypretty good. We all gawped in amazement as he caught and passed Alejandro Valverde, who’d started three minutes earlier. Sure, Alexandre Vinokourov did the ride of the day but after his troubles following the crash in week one he still has some ground to make up. He may be pedalling like a man possessed but I can tell you he is limping when he’s off the bike.

Looking at the General Classification now, Rasmussen has a one minute lead over Cadel Evans, who also did a good TT on Saturday, and Alberto Contador and Andreas Kloeden are a little over a minute and a half further back. I spoke to Rasmussen again after Saturday’s TT, and while he is concerned with Evans’ proximity, he does exude confidence ahead of three tough stages in the Pyrenees.

Listen to Rasmussen here: news.bbc.co.uk/player/sol/ne...

A few days ago I said I couldn’t quite get my head around the thought of Rasmussen winning the Tour. Now I am no longer certain. Are any of you?

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posted Jul 22, 2007

Rumours that maybe Soler helped Rasmussen to crack Evans today, if Evans loses any more time before we leave th mountains then no one will catch the Yellow Jersey leader.

By the way I aint up on all these things, why did Kloden leave T-Mobile for Astana??

I thought he would have been a great shout for Le Tour instead he chose to help Vino this year, had he not fell he may have won it.

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posted Jul 22, 2007

Contador is the man. Shame about the suspision hanging over Rasmussan (you fool!)- couldn't stand another Landis!

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comment by swpcity (U6094490)

posted Jul 23, 2007

Its got to be Contador for me. I hope he wins the GC although I wanted Leipheimer from the start. OK one of them then.

Realistically I think Rasmussen will keep the yellow jersey until Saturday and someone will catch him on the final time trial. Here's hoping for the Disco Two.

But you never know. Rasmussen is looking extrememly tired and might blow today. For me the guy is a fool anyway missing some of the tests. After all he is a sportsmen and its part of his job.

Fantastic yesterday. I wish I could watch it today. Its either the Yahoo website or waiting for the highlights at 9 on Eurosport (you get more riding on Eurosport than the informative ITV4 highlights

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posted Jul 23, 2007

I just can't get excited about Leipheimer, I don't know why but there's just something about him that fails to inspire me.

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posted Jul 23, 2007

A professional sportsman missing tests for both the UCI & DCU is extraordinary; cycling has had too many pharmaceutical & performance-related anomalies in the past and, judging from the last few days, it seems to continue.

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posted Jul 23, 2007

Rassmussen and contador should have struck up a deal. for the sake of 8 seconds. Rasumussen should have just said, right lets work together, get rid of evans even more, and i will let you (contador) win the stage. To bicker over 8 seconds was silly, as they could have gained even more.

boardman is so fuuny on ITV. He is so biased against both Rasmussen and Contador. He does not think Contador can win, every stage he says he will blow up on the next one, but on he goes.
What is this built in, Rasmussen cant time trial idea. did he not show that he can on Saturday. One day from winning the tour, do you not think he will bring out a performance. i reacon he is only going to take more time from evans, kloden etc on wed. His rival is going to be contador. If they can work together on wed, it will be between them in the time-trial.
Everydoy on thisa board said Rasmussen will lose 3-4-5 ins in the time trail, maybe not, he says he has been working on it, and he is proved right.

Bring it on, i have been saying Rasmussen and Contador since Tignes, and here we go. Most exiciting riders (plus Soler), i really hope they make it.

Evans is good, but not quite good enough. i really hope he does not win it, Indurain all over again. Leipheimer likewise.

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comment by U8491286

posted Jul 23, 2007

Regarding Leipheimer, im not very fond of him but i think he's in a strong position. I gleefully thought he'd lost it but now i think he can stick in the mountains (working together with Contador) and pull out a big time trial. He might just win it and will beat Evans to the podium for sure. That 'limpet' is goin to fall to pieces in the pyrenees. Totally overrated.

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posted Jul 23, 2007

Regarding Rasmussen, unless you have further information from what I last read about the situation, he didn't actually miss any drugs tests. He just failed to inform the Danish cycling Federation where he was on two dates.
Everyone also says he is a sportsman and it is his job. Have they never made a mistake at work? Also is their job as high profile and as pressurised as Rasmussens?

On another note, I think Rasmussen may well be wearing the yellow jersey in Paris.

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posted Jul 23, 2007

safetyaverse: I thought it had been concluded that Rasmussen had missed 4 tests in total: two tests by the UCI and two tests by the DCU. Rasmussen has done a very good job of emphasising the administrative error aspect; missing paper work etc. His whereabout was unknown when he was randomly selected for two tests on the 8 May and 28 June. It would appear though that a test carried out on the 29 June resolved all of this. This issue is also discussed on this thread: http://www.bbc.co.uk/dna/606/A24975507

Importantly, his tests have been clean.

I think the Tour de France would come out of this year better, in terms of public perceptions etc, if Rasmussen were not to win GC Yellow. A win by say Contador might help shift views?

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comment by swpcity (U6094490)

posted Jul 24, 2007

Well I watched the highlights on ITV4 (sorry BBC but tough) and bits on Eurosport. Brilliant.

I thought Con was going to break Ras. In fact Ras was struggling but credit to him for sticking in. Big day on Wednesday. I am just thinking if I could take the afternoon off work.

The Ras situation smells a little bit doesn't it. It doesn't stink but smells. Lets wait on see what happens.

For me Wednesday will look like this. Con will break Ras and take about a minute from him. Then he will pip him in the time trial Saturday. Then Disco will take the team race as well. Here's hoping.

Why does Levi not impress people? Surely his name is impressive in itself. He has had a great tour and is still in contention if he has a good day tomorrow. ou never know? One good day could win it for him.

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