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Meanwhile, in Afghanistan ...

Robin Lustig | 10:09 UK time, Friday, 17 October 2008

I don't know about you, but now that it seems global capitalism isn't about to come crashing down around our ears after all, I reckon it might be time to try to catch up with what else is happening out there in the big wide world, beyond the hysteria of the money markets. (I'm not suggesting the financial stuff doesn't matter, simply that perhaps other things matter too.)

Afghanistan, for example. There's a war going on in Afghanistan, as you may remember. A coalition of NATO-led troops are trying to "defeat the Taliban" (we'll come back to that in a moment): many lives are being lost, both civilian and military. There are now more US and UK lives being lost in Afghanistan than in Iraq.

So maybe it's time to take a long hard look at what's going on. And that's just what we're going to do in tonight's (Friday's) programme. (If you've missed it by the time you read this, it's available for the next seven days via Listen Again on the website.) It's also, not entirely coincidentally, what the US administration is now doing, to try to redefine strategy for the coming months.

According to a report last week in the Washington Post, US intelligence officials are warning of a rapidly worsening situation in Afghanistan, where they say reconstituted elements of al-Qaeda and the resurgent Taliban are now collaborating with an expanding network of militant groups.

What's more, according to reports in the French press, a leaked cable from a senior French diplomat in London quotes the British ambassador in Afghanistan, Sir Sherard Cowper-Coles, as saying that the international military presence there "is part of the problem, not the solution."

And the outgoing British military commander, Brigadier Mark Carleton-Smith, told The Times 10 days ago that a military victory against the Taliban is "neither feasible nor supportable".

So what it all adds up is that the entire NATO-led operation in Afghanistan is in big trouble. It began as a way of defeating the people held responsible for the attacks of September 11, 2001, and at first it did what it was meant to do: overthrew the Taliban, forced al-Qaeda into hiding, and installed a pro-Western government in Kabul.

But is all that now at risk of being reversed? If the Taliban are getting stronger again, might it be an idea to try to engage with at least some of them to see if there's a way of encouraging them into a political, rather than a military, process?

And don't forget, just across the border in Pakistan, there's another war going on, as the Pakistani army tries to establish control in areas which have traditionally been left to local tribal leaders to look after. Trouble is, some of those leaders are sympathetic to, and offer hospitality to, Pakistani Taliban fighters who are both a threat to the government in Islamabad and only too happy to make common cause with their fellow Taliban in Afghanistan. (There are now more Pakistani troops fighting in the region bordering Afghanistan than there are US troops in Iraq.)

Complicated? You bet. But as the British discovered in Afghanistan in the 19th century, and as the Soviet army discovered in the 1980s, foreign armies tend not to win wars there. That's why the fundamental policy review now under way in Washington is so important - and why I hope you'll be able to listen to tonight's programme and add your comments.

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  • 1. At 9:40pm on 18 Oct 2008, dickdrury wrote:

    An attempt by the United States to "redefine strategy" in Afghanistan is long overdue, we can only hope it is not too late. The presence of foreign forces, or the foreign presence in general, is certainly now part of the problem. Americans are the worst culprits with their gross arrogance and insensitivity, but it seems that most westerners lack the ability to interact effectively with the local people and culture.

    Although many Afghans suffer from ignorance because of very low educational opportunity, they are certainly not stupid. Their character is different from that of their neighbours to the west and east, being basically honourable and reasonable. They have never been conquered or colonised since the days of Gengis Khan, but they have an open and pragmatic attitude if treated with respect.

    I say these things not from idle speculation or media reports, I lived in Afghanistan for several years in the early seventies and my daughter is currently serving with the British army in one of the most dangerous parts of Helmand province. Some of my friends who also lived there in the old days are convinced that the Americans are making so many mistakes that they cannot possibly be so stupid, it must be purposely intended to increase and prolong instability in the region, to justify their continued presence!

    During a short visit to Kabul last month, I seemed to be the only westerner walking around a city of blocked-off streets, blast barriers and heavily armed guards. But taxi drivers and shopkeepers were always friendly when they found I was British, not American.

    I also interacted with refugees from bombed-out villages in the south, and foreign aid officials and their contractors. I observed that apart from the military mess and the foreign support of hated warlords, huge amounts of money are being thrown into development projects without any effective results. I believe this is mainly because the local tribal chiefs and elders are never consulted, it is all decided and forced upon them by westerners who never leave their secure compounds, and their corrupt Afghan government counterparts. The valuable opportunity to nurture good relations and regional cohesiveness by giving assistance and development to those who actually need and deserve it, in agreement with local elders, is thus lost.

    At last we are hearing some honest comments from "those in the know" about the real situation in Afghanistan, let's hope that those in authority and those on the ground can overcome their arrogance and ignorance, in order to make a difference before it really is too late.

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  • 2. At 01:22am on 29 Oct 2008, ChristaB wrote:

    Absolutely there is no clear military solution in Afghanistan. There needs to be a more horizontal focus on human security. Whether or not negotiations with militants is wise or will be effective in the long run, I don't know.

    Great post!

    theodalisque.wordpress.com

    http://theodalisque.wordpress.com/2008/10/22/human-security-over-military-security-in-afghanistan/

    and

    http://theodalisque.wordpress.com/2008/10/27/aid-and-afghanistan/

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