A lot of our weather this winter has come from the Arctic and Scandinavia hence the snow and ice but this week it's back to normal.

It was a cold start this morning with some frost and icy patches but the weather pattern is now on the change.

The jet stream is going to move north towards Britain over the next few days, so it will turn milder but wet and windy at times with south-westerly winds bringing plenty of rain from the Atlantic.

So it's good news for surfers as this area of low pressure will produce some big waves towards the end of the week with 3-4 metre swells forecast for South Wales.

The winds however will be mainly onshore, south westerly but sheltered spots should be good according to Gull.

The Met Office has issued a warning of heavy rain for parts of South Wales and Powys this afternoon:

The weather will improve on Tuesday but I'd make the most of any dry weather and sunshine because more rain is on the way tomorrow night.

The rest of the week will remain mild and unsettled as low pressure brings spells of wet and windy weather with the rain being heaviest on the hills and mountains in the south and west.

By the end of Saturday, rainfall totals could be around 100 to 125 mm, (4 to 5 inches), so there is a risk of some flooding as the ground becomes saturated.

Frost is unlikely this week as it will remain mild but the waterproofs will definitely come in handy at times.

Episode Two of Weatherman Walking is on telly tonight at 7.30pm on BBC One Wales. Find out all about the two featured walks as well as maps & photos on the new website.

thanks

Derek

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