January so far has been milder than normal and there are already signs of spring in places such as Sketty where daffodils are in flower!
Photo of daffodils in Sketty by John Jones.
January has also been wet. In Tredegar over 240mm (9 inches) of rain has already fallen, more than the total monthly average of 176.2mm. In Prestatyn, over 64mm has been recorded compared to the average of 58.5mm for the whole of January.
There’s more rain to come on Friday and again on Sunday with a warning in force.
On Thursday a front will move east bringing some showery rain. Behind this front the air will be colder so some wintry precipitation is likely on higher ground with a little snow for example on Pen y Fan in the Brecon Beacons.
There will be some sunshine on Thursday but it will feel colder than today with stronger winds and lower temperatures - between 5 and 8°C.
Temperatures on Thursday evening will fall low enough for some ground frost inland but cloud and rain will spread from the west overnight into Friday with low pressure near Iceland pushing warm fronts across the UK.
Met Office weather chart for Friday, 24 January 2014.
Saturday will be a breezy, windy day with a mixture of bright intervals and showers; the showers heavy in places with hail and thunder and wintry on the mountain tops with sleet and snow.
Sunday may start dry but low pressure will bring another dose of wet and windy weather, some heavy rain and a risk of further localised flooding. There will be strong winds and gales as well. The heavy rain will clear later in the day followed by colder air and wintry showers from Sunday night into Monday.
That’s all for now, you can follow me on Twitter for updates @derektheweather and don’t forget the next episode of Weatherman Walking this Friday on BBC One Wales at 7.30pm. Another two walks, one on Great Orme and the other in Llangynog featuring the highest waterfall in Wales!