Weather

Significant snowfall is expected across parts of the UK on Friday and into the weekend, as mild air once again tries and fails to dislodge the relentlessly cold air that has been such a feature of the weather of late.

Parts of Wales, the Midlands and western parts of Northern England are likely to be worst affected.

For our region, by the end of tonight, snow will be affecting many parts of West and South Yorkshire, and more western parts of North Yorkshire, lasting on and off into the weekend - with Pennine areas most at risk.

Further east, sleet and snow will be patchy in nature at least at first, but with more persistent snow possible later Friday and into Saturday

Significant accumulations are expected over the Pennines, and possibly across some lower levels too, leading to a real risk of disruption.

By Sunday the weather front bringing the snow will be forced back southwards by the cold air, which will be with us for much of next week – although the emphasis by then will be on a good deal of dry weather.

Although a long way off, an end in sight to the cold can be seen for the Easter weekend, with much milder air expected by then, although it will be unsettled.

If the forecast for the rest of March is broadly correct, taking into consideration expected temperature levels, based on the Central England Temperature (CET) measure, March is likely to end up the coldest since 1969, and one of the coldest on record.

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  • Comment number 87. Posted by david rudd

    on 25 Mar 2013 22:48

    Hi Paul, even thopugh we have had such bad snow, I live high up above Huddersfield, my solar panels have to my surprise been generateing power.
    On Friday through all that snow they did 1kw, and yesterday and today over 4kw each day, proves they don"t need sun.

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  • Comment number 86. Posted by ashleyhr

    on 25 Mar 2013 19:26

    The cold and snowy UK/western Europe weather this Spring (March colder than Feb which was colder than Jan) is unusual but it is definitely not unprecedented - I well remember 1979 for instance (I don't remember 1947).
    Whereas 100 F in Kent on 10 August 2003 was unprecedented.
    Very interesting coverage on ITV News at 6.30 pm this evening.
    I tend to assume that man-caused climate change is disrupting the jet stream, rather than that this weather (after the UK 'weather chaos' on 2012) is merely 'natural variation'.
    But I agree that prolonged cold caused by pumping out more Greenhouse gases does sound a little strange. Clearly what counts more is WORLD temperatures.

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  • Comment number 85. Posted by newdwr54

    on 25 Mar 2013 19:06

    Pity about Ch. 5. I was wondering what was going on, especially since the ENSO index is staying firmly neutral, as reported by Greensand. The scientific consensus view is that temperatures should warm over periods like that.

    I've been looking out of my window for the past three days at nearly a foot of snow that steadfastly refuses to budge. On the rare occasions when I've ventured outside I've been fending off a raw easterly wind. Meanwhile the Ch. 5 data were daily indicating a 'Day After Tomorrow' type collapse in global temperatures.

    My 'warmist' views were starting to suffer something of a confidence crisis. They say that if you put someone in a warm/cold room and ask them whether they believe in global warming, the person in the cold room is more likely to say 'no', while the person in the warm room is more likely to say 'yes'.

    Obviously I am not immune to this same shallow and instinctive reflex.

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  • Comment number 84. Posted by QuaesoVeritas

    on 25 Mar 2013 18:03

    #77.Gras Albert
    "Chances are it's an artifact, however, one thing is absolutely certain, any decline has nothing whatsoever to do with increasing atmospheric CO2"

    Thanks.

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  • Comment number 83. Posted by QuaesoVeritas

    on 25 Mar 2013 18:00

    #82.greensand
    "Aqua AMSU ch. 5 Bites the Dust"

    Thanks, so now we have no indication of daily temperatures.
    What the effect will be on the March UAH figure is now anybody's guess.
    Obviously everything I said previously on the subject is no longer valid!

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  • Comment number 82. Posted by greensand

    on 25 Mar 2013 16:40

    "Aqua AMSU ch. 5 Bites the Dust"

    March 25th, 2013 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

    http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/03/aqua-amsu-ch-5-bites-the-dust/

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  • Comment number 81. Posted by greensand

    on 25 Mar 2013 16:06

    @77. Gras Albert

    Thanks for the info, will await future developments.

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  • Comment number 80. Posted by oldgifford

    on 25 Mar 2013 15:12

    Those forecasts again !

    "leaving the forecast largely indistinguishable from climatology." ???

    SUMMARY - TEMPERATURE:
    For April below-average UK-mean temperatures are more likely than above-average. For April-May-June as a whole above-average temperatures are weakly favoured. However, there is still a significant chance that this period will be colder than it was in the majority of the last 10 years.

    The probability that the UK-mean temperature for April-May-June will be in the coldest of our five categories is around 15% and the probability that it will be in the warmest category is around 20% (the probability for each of these categories is 20%).

    Met Office 3-month Outlook
    Period: April – June 2013 Issue date: 21.03.13
    The forecast presented here is for April and the average of the April-May-June period for the United Kingdom as a whole. This forecast is based on information from observations, several numerical models and expert judgement.

    SUMMARY - PRECIPITATION:
    For both April and April-May-June as a whole the uncertainty is large, leaving the forecast largely indistinguishable from climatology. The probability that UK precipitation will fall into the driest of our five categories is around 20% and the probability that it will fall into the wettest category is also around 20% (the probability for each of these categories is 20%). Met Office 3-month Outlook
    Period: April – June 2013 Issue date: 21.03.13
    The forecast presented here is for April and the average of the April-May-June period for the United Kingdom as a whole. This forecast is based on information from observations, several numerical models and expert judgement.

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  • Comment number 79. Posted by Lazarus

    on 25 Mar 2013 15:04

    Unfortunately the previous blog post about missing energy has been closed to comments otherwise I would have posted this information there. A new paper has been accepted for publication on this subject with Trenberth being one of the authors;

    Distinctive climate signals in reanalysis of global ocean heat content
    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50382/abstract

    A more layman friendly look at this paper can be found here;
    http://www.skepticalscience.com/news.php?n=1936

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  • Comment number 78. Posted by spartacusisfree

    on 25 Mar 2013 14:28

    It doesn't matter because the greenie weirdos intend to give us prosperity forever, just like this; http://tinyurl.com/cwtwwfv

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