Despite the relentless cold of February and March, there are grounds for a little optimism this Easter weekend which at least is some comfort for the beleaguered tourist industry.

 

With the jet stream still running through the Mediterranean, a return to milder south-westerly winds remains a long way off, but subtle changes through the weekend offers at least some crumbs of comfort.

 

Firstly, other than a few wintry showers mainly in eastern areas on Good Friday and Saturday, mostly dry conditions will dominate.

 

Secondly, by Easter Sunday, the area of high pressure currently to the north of the UK will move much closer, so winds will be much lighter - and there should be less cloud too.

 

Over the snow covered Pennines this means severe frosts are likely.

 

But by day, the strength of the sun may surprise and make it feel a bit warmer than a shade temperature of around 5C (41F) suggests.

 

So, in general, it should be a good weekend for wrapping up warm and getting out and about – with no disruptive weather expected, which is at least something.

 

So far this month, the Central England mean Temperature (CET) is around 3C, leaving behind 1969 (CET 3.3C).  

 

March is now well on course to be the coldest since 1962 (CET 2.8C).

 

And there remains just a chance that it could equal the mean temperature set back in 1962.

 

If so, March 2013 would turn out to be the equal coldest since way back in 1892.

 

With December 2010 ending up the coldest since 1890, it’s yet more anecdotal evidence that something significant seems to be happening to our climate, driven by a jet stream that continues to be forced regularly further south than normal, across all seasons.

 

As ever the reasons for this are not clear.

 

But those who study how solar activity affects the positioning of the jet stream will, perhaps, feel increasingly vindicated.

Follow me on twitter @Hudsonweather

 

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