Ex-Hurricane Katia on its way
There's been much in the media in the last few days about Hurricane Katia which is expected to travel across the Atlantic and batter parts of the UK on Monday.
By that time it will have lost its hurricane status, and have been downgraded to a 'post tropical storm'.
This is because hurricanes can only develop when sea temperatures are greater than 27C, and once this source of energy is removed, as it travels across the Atlantic, it's strength will subside - although it will remain a powerful weather system.
Ex-hurricanes affecting the UK are nothing new. We only have to go back to 2009 when an even earlier Ex Hurricane (or post tropical storm) Bill brought severe gales to the UK on August 25th.
There has been growing concensus through the day that Katia is likely to be positioned on Monday off the far Northwest coast of Scotland.
Further south, across our region, if this forecast track is correct, estimates are for gusts to reach 50-60mph in many areas, but locally in more exposed places around 70mph is possible.
Wind speeds like this are nothing new, and occur several times a year, particularly in Autumn and Winter.
Should the storm system be further north, wind speeds would be lower. Further south, and wind speeds could be higher.
With trees in full leaf, this could lead to the potential at least of some trees being uprooted, especially where the ground is now soft, for example in Pennine areas where it's been quite wet of late, and high sided vehicles would be vulnerable.
I'll be monitoring this and will update if necessary on sunday and monday.