Unsettled June weather to extend into July
Despite the warm and sunny conditions in the last few days, the unsettled weather which plagued much of June looks set to return.
June turned out to be wet across the UK, dominated by low pressure. Averaged across England & Wales, 122% of average rainfall was recorded.
In our region, for a change, the highest rainfall figures were in eastern areas, where rain is needed most.
For example at Coningsby, in drought order hit Lincolnshire, 77mm of rain was recorded, compared with the average of 54mm - 143% of the average.
In Skipton 73mm of rain fell, compared with their average of 77mm; at Dishforth 52mm of rain was recorded, very close to their long term average for June.
It was also the coolest June for 12 years, based on Central England Temperature data.
The ridge of high pressure which has produced fine & warm conditions in the last few days is starting to give way, and later tomorrow low pressure will be firmly back in charge of our weather.
There will be some rain for most areas in the following week or so - quite often in the form of showers, some of which will be heavy and thundery, so there will be some drier brighter spells in-between.
The weather chart below for Friday indicates unsettled conditions across the whole of the country.
The jet stream which controls our weather is to blame, once again positioning itself to the south of the UK.
It's still early days, but with the half way stage of summer approaching, so far only Piers Corbyn at Weather Action can claim any success with this summer's forecast.
He argued consistently that Summer 2011 would be unsettled because of, in part, continued weak solar activity, which would at times push the Jet stream further south than normal.
Longer term, heading towards mid-July, there are signs that although westerly winds will dominate, pressure may build in southern areas, leading to traditional set up across the UK.
This would mean the driest conditions would be in more southern and eastern parts of the UK, with most rainfall in more northern and western areas.
This is exactly the type of weather pattern that is most common across the British Isles at this time of year.