Rest of July heading for a washout
Most parts of the country have enjoyed a fine summers day today, with plenty of sunshine.
But although it's the last thing the UK tourist industry wants to hear, the message is enjoy it while it lasts.
By the weekend low pressure will again be dominating our weather as the jet stream moves further south than normal, as it did for much of June.
The two charts below, the first for this sunday and the second for a week on sunday are typical of what we can expect for much of the rest of July.
The atmosphere will be stuck 'in a rut', leading to spells of rain, interspersed with brighter days, but with a risk of heavy, thundery showers.
During spells of weather like this it's not all doom and gloom. Two or three fine, dry days on the trot are possible, but rain bearing clouds will never be far away.
At least the rain will continue to alleviate the drought conditions in eastern areas.
As I indicated on this blog in May at the end of our gloriously warm and sunny spring, that although it was possible that the fine weather would last through summer, a more likely scenario based on historical weather records was for summer to turn unsettled.
Once more, so far at least, climatology has proved to be a very useful tool in predicting what summer is going to be like.
Climate records also indicate that should the rest of July turn out to be unsettled as expected, more often than not August remains changeable, although there are exceptions to the rule.
Let's hope this year August is one of those exceptions - if not, September could see a big improvement.