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Global temperatures continue to fall.

Paul Hudson | 13:00 UK time, Thursday, 3 February 2011

The January Global temperature, according to UAH satellite data, was 0.009C below the 1981-2010 average. The previous month, December 2010, was 0.181C above average

A year ago, in January 2010, the global temperature was 0.542C above the 1981-2010 average.

If the more standard 1961-1990 time period is used, (The Met Office and The World Meteorological Organisation use this reference period), the figure would be approximately 0.244C above the 1961-1990 average. The Met Office have predicted an anomaly for 2011 of +0.44C

Global temperatures have been now been falling since September of last year, partly in response to the continued decline in sea temperatures, which began during the early stages of 2010.

As always there is a lag between the fall in sea temperatures and Global temperatures, and for this reason, and the fact most models suggest a colder than average central Pacific well into 2011, global temperatures are likely to remain depressed for some time.

In fact the majority of models, with the exception of The National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) which is coldest for longest, and NASA's model, which predicts faster warming of the central Pacific with neutral conditions being reached as early as March, indicate the central Pacific will only slowly warm over the coming months, with neutral conditions not reached until late autumn.


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