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A wild start to February - back to square one next week?

Paul Hudson | 13:59 UK time, Monday, 7 February 2011


A wind speed of 66mph has been recorded at Loftus, near Whitby, and at Donna Nook outside Cleethorpes, this afternoon.

The Environment agency has recorded 200mm at their rain gauge at Tow Hill, at the top of the River Ure catchment in Wensleydale, so far this month. This is 150% of the average February rainfall at this location.


Severe gales and heavy rain have battered Yorkshire in the last few days. The highest wind speed was recorded at Fylingdales on the North York Moors with 70mph on Friday.

Pennine areas have had a month's worth of rain since Thursday. 79.2mm of rain was measured at Bingley in West Yorkshire since 9am on Thursday morning, compared to the average for the whole of February of 83mm. The catchment's of the Ure and Swale in North Yorkshire have had the highest rainfall, with 130mm falling in the same period - again approximately a month's worth of rain.

The River Ouse is expected to peak early this evening; all the other rivers across Yorkshire have peaked and are now falling. Pressure is now rising from the west, with severe gales again expected in the area for the next few hours.

The rest of the week will remain unsettled, with more rain to come on Wednesday and Friday, but amounts won't be high enough to cause further flooding problems.

Looking further ahead, into the second half of February, pressure once again looks set to build to the North and East of the UK.

At the moment there are number of different scenarios. A minority of solutions, which can't be entirely discarded, plunge the UK back to a very cold and wintry easterly, but the majority have a more non-descript blocked pattern, with a prevailing South-easterly wind from the continent.

Temperatures would be colder than average, with at times a significant wind-chill. Rainfall would be well below average.


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