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BBC BLOGS - Newsnight: Peter Marshall

Archives for November 2008

Smokes, Drinks and Addiction In The White House

Peter Marshall | 16:27 UK time, Thursday, 27 November 2008

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It's more than a surprise, if less than a shock, to find that the US President-elect, the very model of self possession, is still a smoker. Barack Obama's intellectual self-confidence underwrites his "Team Of Rivals" choices for cabinet: Hillary Clinton, Robert Gates et al will serve, Obama will lead, it's his vision. Yet the coming man remains addicted to that classic neurotic's prop, nicotine.

He has admitted as much in a Barbara Walters interview.

Of course the last Democrat in the White House didn't inhale and never even lit the cigars (no sniggering at the back) he claimed to brandish in moments of celebration. George W apparently gave up smoking around the time he foreswore alcohol. His critics might argue this shows an inverse ratio between statesmanship and abstinence.

And Obama? For security reasons presidents don't send email. But he has already made it known, despite the convention, he's loath to give up his BlackBerry/CrackBerry habit. We must also now assume President Obama's worries over crises or would be assassins will be sublimated by a quick drag, or toke as he'd say, round the back of the Oval Office.

Far From Finished - And The Rivals...

Peter Marshall | 17:28 UK time, Wednesday, 19 November 2008

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Senator Ted Stevens who lost his re-election bidIt isn't over until it's over, and the American election, in all its ramifications, is still far from finished. One political figure who has run his course is Alaska's second most famous Republican, Senator Ted Stevens. After representing the frozen north for forty years he has finally been compelled to concede defeat.

The Alaskan of the Century, the man who gave his name to the airport in Anchorage, could now, at the age of 85, find himself a long term resident of another federal institution, one with bars. Last month he was convicted on a raft of corruption charges.
It brings the Democrats ever closer to the magic, filibuster-free 60 Senate seats. Minnesota is one of two outstanding states to watch.

The intriguing notion is that, with so few votes between the two candidates, any review of those ballot papers inadvertently spoiled or incorrectly completed could favour the Democrats, the theory being that Democrats are somehow more likely to struggle with the complexities. The key thing assessors will bear in mind in any disputed ballot is the voter's presumed intentions.

Couple Minnesota with Georgia and Obama could find his party running Capitol Hill as well as the White House - a result which might not be entirely helpful if he tries to sell the Democrats his currently vaunted notion of bipartisanship.

The President-elect is currently wrestling with his choices for cabinet but while we're assured by some that he has already chosen Hillary Clinton to be his Secretary of State, others are far from convinced. Among them, apparently, the woman herself.

And then again, if selected, would she necessarily be a model member of his Lincolnian Team of Rivals? Others argue that she'd far better serve elsewhere

Perhaps she'll see matters the same way if the Democrats get those 60 senate seats? Capitol Hill may then look very tempting as a Clinton power base to rival rather than complement the Obama White House. One senses that the Senator would still find the senior foreign job too good to turn down, but who knows? And whatever she does there are some in the Democratic party who just don't like her and won 't like her. That piece is even more piquant when you know the writer is a former mentor and ally of Al Gore.

Obama and McCain: Small Clues To A Big Result

Peter Marshall | 15:08 UK time, Thursday, 6 November 2008

Comments (2)


My key moments of the campaign? Two from each candidate - small reasons why Obama became a winner and McCain a loser. The two big reasons - President Bush and the economy - please take as read.

I'd start back in January 2007, before the campaign had even begun. The new Senator, Barack Obama, had yet to declare his candidacy for the White House, but anyone who follows these things knew it was only a matter of time. So we went up to Capitol Hill and dropped by his office. The Senator wasn't giving formal interviews but he agreed to answer a few questions for Newsnight. We were immediately struck by his ease at handling random issues on the hoof - he never appeared hurried, seemed to consider every point with careful deliberation and dodged none before moving on.

He was the same the next day when I threw a few further questions after a news conference. And again on a third day, down in New Orleans, the must-visit venue for aspiring Democratic candidates post Katrina, he responded to Newsnight's interventions with grace and a little humour. Of course he must have been sick of the sight of the British reporter (no votes in the UK) but was still willing to engage. It was impressive. This was the candidate of cool, a man at ease with himself and confident of his abilities and intellect.

The second Obama moment came last week, five nights before election day, in Orlando, Florida. This was the night Bill Clinton ventured onto the platform in support of the man who'd dashed Hillary's hopes. The former president was in his element, addressing a crowd the size of which he could never have drawn in his own right at any time. He loved it and the 40 thousand returned the feeling. Obama told them, "Now you remember what a great president looks like," and they roared.

But it was Bill Clinton's remarks that really struck. He told them that Barack Obama does not make rash, instant judgements. He thinks, consults (consultant groups apparently include President W. and Senator H. Clinton, so Obama's shrewd with his flattery too) weighs the points until he understands. Understanding was the key, according to Clinton. Obama was the man who understood and always wanted to understand.

The contrast with the present incumbent of the White House was implicit but unmissable. There was also, one sensed, a deliberate evocation of the supposed erratic nature of John McCain.

As for McCain, the first moment I thought he was in deep trouble was the point at which many seemed to decide he was on the up: the day he picked Sarah Palin. The trouble with Palin - one of the troubles - was that she utterly undermined McCain's pitch, his Big Argument: that Obama was too inexperienced to be allowed near the Oval Office. A 72 year old president picking a novice as his number two did not seem to be a case of Putting Country First. The fact that she then turned out to be a divisive figure in a nation which is seeking healing only further hurt the ticket.

John McCain's second bad moment came on September 24 when he suddenly announced he was suspending his campaign and calling for a postponement of that week's presidential debate so that he could return to Washington to sort out the country's economic crisis. It was classic McCain in the worst sense. Like the Palin selection, it looked rash and a gamble which was never likely to succeed. McCain had admitted he has a blind spot over economics and we're told that when it came to talks at the White House he contributed nothing. He failed to have any impact on the bail out and then had to swallow his pride and turn up for the presidential debate. Quixotic, vainglorious, reckless - all the flaws apparent in John McCain's campaign.

He has many qualities which we saw only rarely during his 2008 run for the Presidency, but one shining example of the Good McCain comes in something he didn't do - in a remarkable piece of political self abnegation he refused to raise the matter of Obama's barmy pastor, Rev. Wright. McCain abhors racism (incidentally he has an adopted daughter from Bangladesh) and he knows that characters like Rev Wright, with their incendiary comments, only inflame the racists' ire.

Many around him, including Gov. Palin, were eager for John McCain to use Obama's association with the cleric but McCain said no. It must have cost him votes - Wright looked to be a real vulnerability for Obama - but it does John McCain enormous credit that in this area the honourable McCain stood firm.



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