I'm reviewing the situation on Iran
Journalists love writing those "I told you so" pieces. Newspapers will often "rag out" their original piece to demonstrate their foresight.
Here, I too will admit to having linked back to some earlier pearls of wisdom.
We're less likely to remind people of unsuccessful pieces, but on this occasion I'm going to.
Back on 22nd October last year I wrote a blog about hopes running high for a nuclear breakthrough with Iran.
The story, was based on sources in the International Atomic Energy Authority and the US State Department talking up the chances of Iran accepting a deal.
The idea was that Russia and France would reprocess their enriched uranium into things with civil uses, like medical isotopes, rather than military ones.
Chatting today to Ali Ansari, an Iran expert at the Royal Institute for International Affairs, he pointed out that the US State Department was insisting the offer stood a good chance of success because it, along with the rest of the Obama administration was desperate for a sign that the president's police of engagement was yielding results.
Three months on it has become clear quite how remote the hope of this nuclear offer being accepted were.
Its opponents in Tehran soon shot it down.
The violent aftershocks of June's Iranian presidential elections meanwhile have further poisoned the atmosphere.
Iran has continued with public show trials of democracy activists. These have included claims about US, UK, Zionist and even BBC plots against Iran.
Last week's Afghan conference in London might have given a chance for a resumption of diplomacy, but the Iranian foreign minister did not turn up and the US instead used the margins of the meeting to campaign for new sanctions against Iran.
So the Obama administration's engagement policy has yielded little by way of concessions from President Ahmadinejad and now seems to be mutating into something different, as the US State Department sherpas begin the long painful climb towards a new sanctions regime.
If the policy can be said to have achieved one thing it is that Barack Hussein Obama still does not look like a good fit for the Great Satan cap that Iranian ideologues reserve for the occupant of the White House.
The absence of Bush-style sabre rattling creates a political vacuum that anti-Western Iranians try to fill by linking their pro-democracy countrymen to alleged Western plots.
Where US policy is heading from here is not yet clear.
And given what I wrote back in October, I shall be quite careful before claiming I have spotted the new direction of travel.