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Follow the money

Justin Webb | 15:40 UK time, Thursday, 21 February 2008

WASHINGTON: Follow the money - as Deep Throat did not say:

BOOKIES TAKE ON HILLARY

HILLARY Clinton is now the highest price she's ever been to win the race for the White House, according to bookmakers Ladbrokes.

The British firm have pushed her out to 6/1 from 11/2 to follow in her husband's footsteps and she's now a massive 7/2 to win the Democratic nomination.

Ladbrokes spokesman Robin Hutchison said: "We can't tempt anyone to have a bet on Hillary at the moment - she's totally friendless."

Barack Obama is now 8/11 to be named next US President and 5/6 to follow his 10 successive Primary wins with another in Ohio.

LATEST BETTING

Ohio Democratic Primary

Barack Obama 5/6
Hillary Clinton 5/6

Election Winner

Democrats 1/2
Republicans 6/4
Independent 20/1

Who will be elected U.S. President?

Barack Obama 8/11
John McCain 6/4
Hillary Clinton 6/1
Michael Bloomberg 20/1
Mike Huckabee 33/1
Ron Paul 150/1

Democratic Candidate

Barack Obama 1/6
Hillary Clinton 7/2

Republican Candidate

John McCain 1/50
Mike Huckabee 14/1
Ron Paul 200/1

Republican Vice Presidential Nominee

Tim Pawlenty 4/1
Charlie Crist 6/1
Mark Sandford 8/1
Mike Huckabee 8/1
Condoleezza Rice 12/1
Joe Lieberman 12/1
Mitt Romney 12/1
Haley Barbour 14/1
Sonny Perdue 14/1
Bobby Jindal 16/1
Chuck Hagel 16/1
Kay Bailey Hutchinson 16/1
David Petraeus 20/1
Fred Thompson 20/1
Rudy Giuliani 20/1
Jim Demint 25/1
John Kasich 25/1
Lindsay Graham 25/1
Richard Burr 25/1
Steve Forbes 25/1
Colin Powell 33/1
J C Watts 33/1
Jeb Bush 33/1
John Thune 33/1
Michael Steele 33/1
Phil Gramm 33/1
Rob Portman 33/1
Sarah Palin 33/1
Michael Bloomberg 50/1
Mike Pence 50/1
Mike Pence 50/1
Ron Paul 100/1

Comments   Post your comment

Uhm, for those of us who are bit slow... can anyone explain how betting odds work?

  • 2.
  • At 07:35 PM on 21 Feb 2008,
  • Patrick Barrett wrote:

Obama's favouritism with the bookies is surprising. Surely McCain, despite age and other factors,would have the best chance of attracting independent and even right wing Democrats - he does come across as a caring conservative - especially those from southern states who might still find voting for a black President too much to stomach??

  • 3.
  • At 07:36 PM on 21 Feb 2008,
  • John Crumley wrote:

Ha. Put like this, Ron Paul looks a bit tasty!

  • 4.
  • At 07:44 PM on 21 Feb 2008,
  • Blair Boland wrote:

"Follow the money"... an apt summary of American politics in a nutshell. The guiding philoshophy of all Duopoly Party candidates - both before and after nominal "elections". When darling Hillary was first parachuted into New York state to assume a Senate seat there, she was asked, why New York, and she replied tartly, that's where the money is isn't it? Which is why she is where she is today and Obama, too. Which is why it's equally apt to say the next president will be "named" in the carefully controlled nomination process. By those with the money. Business as usual. What are the odds of any "change" in that?

  • 5.
  • At 09:19 PM on 21 Feb 2008,
  • David wrote:

Patrick Barrett must not be too familiar with the demographics in the South. Considering that the majority of the African-Americans in the United States live in the Southeastern portion of the Country, and considering that Obama took most if not all of the primaries in the region, it might not be that big of a surprise that Southerners could "stomach" to vote for a black President.

  • 6.
  • At 10:05 PM on 21 Feb 2008,
  • Orville wrote:

It's interesting that my state has three candidates for the Republican VP nomination...
(And our governor's name is "Sanford"

  • 7.
  • At 10:29 PM on 21 Feb 2008,
  • David wrote:

Chris - Clinton at 6/1 means you bet £1 and if she wins you get your £1 back plus you win £6. basically the bookies think it's unlikely she'll win so are happy to give you those odds. mcCain is at 1/50 meaning you can wager £50 and win it back plus £1. I'm surprised they'll even give you that, though I suppose he could croak!

  • 8.
  • At 11:06 PM on 21 Feb 2008,
  • michael wrote:

what are all these fractions. serious, I don't understand anything. Is it some kind of brits number slang?

  • 9.
  • At 12:20 AM on 22 Feb 2008,
  • David Cunard wrote:

According to the figures above, in Ohio both candidates are at the same odds - presumably Obama is friendless as well! The list of potential Republican vice-presidential candidates is interesting in that it includes Colin Powell, admittedly at long odds, but earlier this month he said he was not going to commit himself to either party. In the past he has supported Lyndon Johnson and Bill Clinton and more recently has made some flattering remarks about Mr Obama. I hardly think he should even be on the list - at least, not for the Republicans.

  • 10.
  • At 08:22 AM on 22 Feb 2008,
  • Patrick Barrett wrote:

Not all 'southern Americans' are black - it was the southern white vote to which I was making reference. Quite clearly, Mr Obama will receive a majority of black support!

  • 11.
  • At 09:54 AM on 22 Feb 2008,
  • Paul wrote:

David - Thank you. I also wasn't up to speed on betting odds, and a wiki search did more to confuse me than anything else. Thank you for a concise and clear explanation. I still wouldn't take that Clinton bet, not unless I wanted to lose my pound.

  • 12.
  • At 11:42 AM on 22 Feb 2008,
  • Nick wrote:

Petraeus at 20/1 for McCain's VP is a tempting bet. I suspect the top two are too short because he needs a ticket-balancer.

If he picks someone who's genuinely further to the right than he is he can stop desperately licking the feet of the party's shouters and work on the independents that he needs so much more. He can't beat Obama if he turns off the swing voters.

If I was McCain I'd phone that crank Limbaugh's radio show and tell him to get stuffed and go vote for the other guy in November if he feels so strongly. They need him a lot more than he needs them.

Patrick and David,

I'm a white Southerner who grew up in segregated Florida, and I'd vote for Obama if I was still a US voter. I don't think I'm unique in that, and it fills me with hope - a thing in very short supply these days.

Salaam/Shalom/Shanthi/Dorood/Peace
Namaste -ed

  • 14.
  • At 01:23 PM on 22 Feb 2008,
  • The Observer wrote:

The 6/4 on McCain looks like a snip to me.

  • 15.
  • At 10:38 AM on 26 Feb 2008,
  • Chris wrote:

i got a bet of 6/1 for obama to win the white house a year ago!

they told me i was mad!!!!!

  • 16.
  • At 12:16 AM on 27 Feb 2008,
  • Kerry wrote:

Do you remember that Mr. Obama expressed indignation and outrage when the SEIU was helping John Edwards---Obama’s very words were “Taking on these groups isn’t just a matter of setting the record straight about me or my positions. It’s about proving that a new kind of campaign – funded by ordinary people who want something better for all of us – can defeat the same tired, old political textbook that so many Americans just don’t trust anymore."
It seems the SEIU is running ads (almost 1 million dollars worth) for Senator Barack Obama in Texas. Special Interest groups are disgusting for Clinton or John Edwards but CERTAINLY OKAY FOR OBAMA. Politicians are always politicians.


  • 17.
  • At 12:10 AM on 29 Feb 2008,
  • Paul Millward wrote:

Never forget the good old adage; "It aint over till the fat lady sings" - as valid today as it ever was. No way of saying what may or may not happen in the US or in the wider world before the curtain call and most definately no odds required to predict who will be the shoo-in into the White House in the event of another attack on the scale of 9-11.

  • 18.
  • At 04:38 AM on 04 Mar 2008,
  • Lorraine Williams wrote:

Speaking of money, where is all of Barack Obama's money coming from?

Is is all from legal contributions or is Oprah sending a gazillion a week?

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