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The starting line

Graham Smith | 16:49 UK time, Sunday, 2 January 2011

If there was only one reason why a general election in 2011 is highly unlikely, regardless of Vince Cable's claim to have a "nuclear" button capable of triggering the collapse of the coalition, it is the latest opinion poll evidence suggesting that such an early election would be very bad news for the Conservatives and even worse news for the Liberal Democrats. So for what it is worth, I forecast that the Con-Lib coalition will probably hang together. For the alternative is that they would surely hang separately.


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