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As the clocks go back this weekend and we say goodbye to British Summer Time, the weather is going to take a rather unpleasant turn for the worst into Monday morning. With a storm approaching on Sunday night there could well be some significant impacts and disruption to your Monday morning.

The Met Office has already issued an Amber early warning for much of southern England and south Wales. This warns you to ‘be prepared’ for disruption such as minor structural damage, trees falling, potential for localised interruptions to power and travel problems.

Although not actually fully formed yet, forecast models are showing increasing confidence of this storm and that gives us some cause for concern.

Current forecasts suggest that we could see damaging wind gusts over 80mph along southern coasts and winds of 60-70mph further inland.

Further north across England and Wales, Yellow ‘be aware’ early warnings are in force as it’ll also be very windy with gales or severe gales.

The other feature of this storm will be a band of heavy rain moving north east across England and Wales and this could lead to some problems with flooding. Especially with the combination of broken branches and falling leaves blocking up some drains and gutters.

The storm hasn’t actually developed yet but with the advances of weather forecasting computer models over the decades we have confidence that certain events in the atmosphere will come together at the right time to produce a storm over the Atlantic on Saturday morning.

As always, the weather is a finely balanced thing and because of that there is some uncertainty of the exact track and intensity of this storm, and that may make a difference to the conditions where you live.

Forecasters at the Met Office will be keeping a very close eye on the latest computer models, satellite imagery and weather observations in the Atlantic over the next 48 hours. They will be making adjustments to the expected weather for your area and refining the weather warnings as necessary. 

No doubt I’ll be kept busy this weekend myself and will be back early Monday morning on 5 live breakfast with the very latest. Before then though, I suggest you stay tuned to the forecast over the weekend!

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Comments

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  • Comment number 3. Posted by carrie

    on 1 Nov 2013 12:38

    As this is still available, could I just feedback something re: Simon? He puts so much detail in to the forecasts, that it is impossible to know where and when he is talking about. When he was off things were more traditional and straightforward with no muddling up of the areas and generalising "England and Wales" constantly. Please could you consider regionalising the forecast as is done by your colleagues and on Radio 4?

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  • Comment number 2. Posted by zelda

    on 28 Oct 2013 09:05

    My area (North Herts) came through fairly unscathed as far as I can see.

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  • Comment number 1. Posted by zelda

    on 27 Oct 2013 10:03

    And absolutely nothing we can do about any of it...... nature eh? If the storm does hit.... good luck everyone.

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